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19:00 Redcar

Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (Div I)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 6 · score 53.0 · +1.7 clear of next best · best 5/1·6.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way53.0/100 rating
Mr Cool
6.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: The CaltonianDiffers from our pick

The Caltonian heads this competitive Class 5 sprint at Redcar narrowly ahead of Raatea on ratings, and the form he brings to this six-furlong test on good ground looks solid enough to justify his position at the top of the pile. Raatea, four pounds behind, is the chief threat and will need watching, while Liverpool Star and Ingleby Archie could also make their presence felt if either runs to the top of their ability. The selection's edge in class and ability over this field should prove telling if he reproduces his best, and The Caltonian is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mr Cool

Connor Beasley · Charlie Johnston · 4yo

Top-rated of 11
score 53.0 · +1.7 clear of next best (51.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    69strong
    Last 6: 3-5-2-3-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Charlie Johnston: 5/38 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 6.00 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.02
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.98
High (9–11)
IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 11 · combo 7/57 (12%)
4yo · G · bDOnly runner
352313
6853.06/1·7.145/1·6.00
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Jack Garritty · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 9 · combo 1/11 (9%)
5yo · G · bDGoing 1/3Only runner
432135
7151.411/2·6.495.9·5.90
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 7 · combo 6/48 (13%)
6yo · G · bClass dropGoing 2/4
451177
7346.622/1·22.0719.5·19.50
Smarkets · -12% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 · combo 0/5 (0%)
5yo · M · bOnly pairing
222426
6346.58/1·9.0913/2·7.50
Paddy Power · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 · combo 5/115 (4%)
6yo · G · bb
43302
6744.615/2·8.446/1·7.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Linda Perratt · draw 6
7yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner
005054
6844.07/1·7.796.6·6.60
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
3yo · G · bClass drop
314549
6742.216/1·16.8816.5·16.50
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 4 · combo 3/26 (12%)
9yo · G · bhpClass drop
02350
7542.116/1·16.8817·17.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Tina Jackson · draw 10
6yo · M · b
23103
6040.614/1·14.2811/1·12.00
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 5 · combo 6/56 (11%)
7yo · G · b
16405
6140.514/1·14.2812/1·13.00
Bet365 · -9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Billy Garritty · T: Peter Niven · draw 1
8yo · G · bClass dropD
875107
7039.222/1·22.0719.5·19.50
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (Div I)?

The Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (Div I) is off at 19:00 on 22 August 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:00 Redcar?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:00 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:00 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Mr Cool (score 53.0, best price 6.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:00 Redcar?

The market favourite is Ingleby Archie at a best price of 5.90. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Mr Cool.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org