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19:30 Redcar

Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (Div II)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 52.7 · best 6/1·6.80
Best value vs consensus
9.8·9.80 Matchbook · +2% vs fair (consensus 9.59)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 26 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way52.7/100 rating
Farandaway
6.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Bonnie's BoyDiffers from our pick

Bonnie's Boy heads this ten-runner Class 5 sprint at Redcar on a rating a pound clear of Men Of Honour, and with the form to suggest he can translate that narrow edge into a victory over six furlongs on good ground. Men Of Honour and Rotokura Belle, a pound further back, represent the most likely threats, while Irish Nectar cannot be entirely dismissed at a similar level. The selection may need to be at something close to his best, but the weight of evidence points to Bonnie's Boy.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Farandaway

Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer · 4yo

Top-rated of 10
score 52.7 · +0.1 clear of next best (52.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    68strong
    Last 6: 2-1-2-1-2-6
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    Grant Tuer: 1/11 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 6.80 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.02
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.98
High (8–10)
IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 5 · combo 6/56 (11%)
4yo · G · b
212126
7452.715/2·8.316.8·6.80
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
4
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Michael Herrington · draw 10
5yo · G · bbOnly runner
904049
7052.77/1·7.996/1·7.00
Bet365 · -12% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
7
J: Sean D Bowen · T: David O'Meara · draw 6
3yo · G · bvD
842144
6751.517/2·9.599.8·9.80
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 · combo 6/54 (11%)
4yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing
49404
7247.111/2·6.395/1·6.00
Bet365 · -6% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
6
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 7 · combo 6/48 (13%)
4yo · G · ch
25204
6746.310/1·10.879.8·9.80
Matchbook · -10% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
5
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 · combo 2/17 (12%)
4yo · F · bGoing 1/4Only pairing
516542
6845.717/2·9.598.6·8.60
Matchbook · -10% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
3
J: Billy Garritty · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 8
3yo · F · bClass dropGoing 1/3Only pairing
641737
7442.915/2·8.317.2·7.20
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
10
J: Jason Hart · T: Paul Midgley · draw 3 · combo 2/15 (13%)
5yo · G · b
20775
6241.115/2·8.317.8·7.80
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
8
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 1 · combo 9/88 (10%)
3yo · F · bFirst after wind op
15009
6639.040/1·43.4833/1·34.00
Unibet · -22% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
9
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 9 · combo 6/93 (6%)
4yo · G · bFirst after wind opOnly runner
49969
6237.128/1·29.4122/1·23.00
Unibet · -22% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 19:30 on 22 August 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:30 Redcar?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:30 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:30 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Farandaway (score 52.7, best price 6.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:30 Redcar?

The market favourite is Bonnie's Boy at a best price of 6.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Farandaway.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org