18:30 Kempton (AW)

Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £7,020 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Thunder Home

score 48.6 · +1.1 clear of next best · best 5/1·6.20

Best value vs consensus

Liberty's Hall

46·46.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 42.23)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way48.6/100 rating

Thunder Home

6.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Thunder Home

Billy Loughnane · James Horton · 2yo

Top-rated of 13

score 48.6 · +1.1 clear of next best (47.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
52average
Last 6: 7-5-2
Trainer20% weight
0small sample (n=8)
James Horton: 0/8 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 6.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Sonic Angel Thunder Home
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
3Carrow Road
Unknown(10)
2Algaihabane 4Give Hand 5Hoshi 6Liberty's Hall 7Perfect Heir 8Shaddock 9Stytch 11Time To Climb 12Uncle Zello 13Lady Nenaz

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.05

Mid (6–9)

IV 1.17

High (10–13)

IV 0.80

Today: Give Hand (draw 6) and Carrow Road (draw 8) get the bias; Thunder Home (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
—	Thunder HomePick J: Billy Loughnane · T: James Horton · draw 11 2yo · C · bOnly pairing	752	9-04	85	—	—	48.6	13/2·7.28	6.2·6.20 Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair All 20 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 William Hill9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 Betfred4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00BresBet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00
1	Sonic Angel J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 13 · combo 6/17 (35%) 2yo · C · gr	1	9-11	—	—	—	47.5	11/2·6.55	4/1·5.00 Betano · -24% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betano4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00Matchbook5·5.0010 Bet4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange5·5.00Smarkets4.9·4.90Star Sports7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50 BetWright10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33
4	Give Hand J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 6 · combo 9/39 (23%) 2yo · C · bOnly pairing	—	9-04	—	—	—	28.5	66/1·59.70	95·95.00 Matchbook · +59% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook95·95.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange48·48.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.00LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00
2	Algaihabane J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4 · combo 5/17 (29%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-04	—	—	—	27.5	11/10·2.10	1.61·1.61 Smarkets · -23% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets1.61·1.61Betfair Exchange1.57·1.57Matchbook1.57·1.57SmarketsSBK4/7·1.57 Paddy Power1/2·1.50 BetMGM1/2·1.50 SportingIndex1/2·1.50 Spreadex1/2·1.50 Unibet1/2·1.50 Betfred4/9·1.44 Quinn Bet4/9·1.44 Bet Victor4/9·1.44 Betano4/9·1.44Betfair Sportsbook4/9·1.44Boyle Sports4/9·1.44 talkSPORT BET4/9·1.44 William Hill4/9·1.44 Bet3652/5·1.40 BetTom2/5·1.40 BetWright2/5·1.40 7Bet2/5·1.40 BresBet2/5·1.40 Ladbrokes2/5·1.40 LiveScore Bet2/5·1.40 Coral2/5·1.40 Dragon Bet2/5·1.40 10 Bet2/5·1.40 Midnite2/5·1.40 Star Sports2/5·1.40Virgin Bet2/5·1.40
3	Carrow Road J: Joey Haynes · T: Chelsea Banham · draw 8 · combo 6/33 (18%) 2yo · C · bOnly rideOnly runner	69	9-04	—	—	—	27.1	250/1·292.68	440·440.00 Matchbook · +50% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook440·440.00BetTom200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 10 Bet200/1·201.00 Midnite200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 talkSPORT BET200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 Bet365200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00Smarkets170·170.007Bet150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 SmarketsSBK150/1·151.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00BetMGM150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 BresBet125/1·126.00 Betfair Exchange110·110.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00
6	Liberty's Hall J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 2 · combo 7/44 (16%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-04	—	—	—	27.0	40/1·42.23	46·46.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook46·46.00Betfair Exchange40·40.00Smarkets38·38.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 talkSPORT BET28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Spreadex28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00
8	Shaddock J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 12 · combo 6/24 (25%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	—	9-04	—	—	—	27.0	18/1·18.93	16.5·16.50 Matchbook · -13% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Betfair Exchange16·16.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00Smarkets15·15.00Bet36512/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00
11	Time To Climb J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 9 · combo 6/42 (14%) 2yo · C · gr	—	9-04	—	—	—	22.5	66/1·59.70	75·75.00 Matchbook · +26% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook75·75.00Smarkets60·60.00William Hill50/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Exchange36·36.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00
13	Lady Nenaz J: Sean Levey · T: Tom Ward · draw 3 · combo 0/10 (0%) 2yo · F · b	—	8-13	—	—	—	22.5	50/1·49.51	48·48.00 Matchbook · -3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook48·48.00Smarkets40·40.00Betfair Exchange38·38.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Paddy Power35/1·36.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.00Spreadex33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00
7	Perfect Heir J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 10 · combo 4/45 (9%) 2yo · G · bOnly pairing	—	9-04	—	—	—	21.0	40/1·37.86	48·48.00 Matchbook · +27% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook48·48.00Smarkets38·38.00Betfair Exchange38·38.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00BresBet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00
5	Hoshi J: David Probert · T: Alan King · draw 1 2yo · C · bOnly pairing	—	9-04	—	—	—	18.5	28/1·27.67	29·29.00 Matchbook · +5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook29·29.00Betfair Exchange27·27.00Smarkets25·25.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Betfred18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 talkSPORT BET18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00
9	Stytch J: Charles Bishop · T: Alan King · draw 5 2yo · C · bOnly pairing	—	9-04	—	—	—	18.5	66/1·59.70	95·95.00 Matchbook · +59% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook95·95.00Smarkets70·70.00SmarketsSBK66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange60·60.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 talkSPORT BET50/1·51.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.00Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00
12	Uncle Zello J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 7 · combo 6/40 (15%) 2yo · C · chOnly ride	—	9-04	—	—	—	18.5	50/1·49.51	50·50.00 Matchbook All 30 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00Smarkets48·48.00Betfair Exchange44·44.00 SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 20–30 bookmakers per horse with the 46% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 18:30 on 19 August 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard / Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Thunder Home (score 48.6, best price 6.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Algaihabane at a best price of 1.61. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Thunder Home.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org