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14:35 Killarney

Ireland

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Hurdle · Good · 19 runners · €7,500 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 6 · score 53.7 · +0.3 clear of next best · best 11/1·12.00
Best value vs consensus
17.5·17.50 Matchbook · +6% vs fair (consensus 16.57)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way53.7/100 rating
Coup d'Essay
12.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.20 · 1/5 odds · 5 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Pirate IslandDiffers from our pick

Pirate Island heads this competitive 19-runner staying contest at Killarney on good ground narrowly ahead of Deise Crystal on our ratings, and that edge, modest as it is, sits on top of a profile that merits respect over the extended two and a half miles. Deise Crystal and Pure Logic are the most credible threats in a race where Mc Swagger also demands a degree of caution at the foot of the leading group. With confidence tempered only by the size of the field, Pirate Island is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Coup d'Essay

Eoin Staples(2) · Gavin Cromwell · 5yo

Top-rated of 19
score 53.7 · +0.3 clear of next best (53.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    41d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    Gavin Cromwell: 6/21 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    58average
    OR 87 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    8weak
    Last 6: 0-8-7-7-P
MarketBest price 12.00 (Bet365) · 6th in the market of 19.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: Eoin Staples(2) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
5yo · G · b
0877P
8753.714/1·14.9111/1·12.00
Bet365 · -19% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
3
8yo · G · chtpOnly rideOnly runner
4P589
9253.440/1·38.1025/1·26.00
Dragon Bet · -32% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
19
J: · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0
5yo · G · b
9U900
10053.228/1·28.1618/1·19.00
Bet365 · -32% vs fair
All 24 books ▾
8
J: Michael Kenneally · T: Michael Barry · draw 0
6yo · G · bOnly runner
014U7
8251.314/1·14.088/1·9.00
Bet365 · -36% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
1
J: Anna McGuinness(4) · T: Sean Aherne · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
5yo · G · bOnly ride
4P235
9550.69/1·9.947.8·7.80
Matchbook · -21% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
4
J: Joshua Halford(4) · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 · combo 1/9 (11%)
8yo · M · bDGoing 1/5Only pairing
56510
9147.818/1·18.2217.5·17.50
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
11
4yo · G · baybrownOnly rideOnly runner
U0780
8347.350/1·56.3250/1·51.00
Bet365 · -9% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
10
J: James Smith · T: Eugene M O'Sullivan · draw 0
6yo · G · btOnly ride
30533
8146.215/2·8.285.8·5.80
Matchbook · -30% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
7
J: Eoghan Finegan(2) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 5/21 (24%)
7yo · M · bOnly pairing
07880
8245.711/1·12.428.6·8.60
Matchbook · -31% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Paddy Hanlon(2) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 3/53 (6%)
6yo · M · btp
6536P3
9445.016/1·16.5717.5·17.50
Matchbook · +6% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
18
J: · T: Eoin Griffin · draw 0
10yo · G · bt
073FP
8045.040/1·38.1025/1·26.00
Bet365 · -32% vs fair
All 24 books ▾
5
5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
9P375
8942.010/1·10.777.6·7.60
Matchbook · -29% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
9
J: Patrick M O'Brien · T: S Ryan · draw 0
8yo · M · bOnly runner
4604U
8140.520/1·21.5412/1·13.00
Bet Victor · -40% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
17
J: · T: John Joseph Murphy · draw 0
6yo · G · b
0059
9540.520/1·21.5414/1·15.00
BetWright · -30% vs fair
All 24 books ▾
14
J: Kevin A Murphy(4) · T: T O'Connor · draw 0
6yo · M · bOnly ride
8PU37
7738.550/1·56.3233/1·34.00
Unibet · -40% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
13
J: Shane O'Callaghan · T: Gerard Kyne · draw 0
8yo · M · baybrownpOnly rideOnly runner
1P759
7838.433/1·34.7922/1·23.00
Bet365 · -34% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
12
J: Dylan Whelan(4) · T: P Corkery · draw 0
5yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner
0000U
7836.066/1·67.9250/1·51.00
Bet365 · -25% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
16
J: Danny Power(4) · T: Sean Aherne · draw 0
9yo · G · chpOnly pairing
3804P
7236.016/1·16.5713.5·13.50
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
15
5yo · M · bOnly pairing
80047
7635.428/1·31.4822·22.00
Matchbook · -30% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 24–27 bookmakers per horse with the 66% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle?

The Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle is off at 14:35 on 22 August 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:35 Killarney?

2m4f, Hurdle, 19 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:35 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:35 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Coup d'Essay (score 53.7, best price 12.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:35 Killarney?

The market favourite is Uptaurintop at a best price of 5.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Coup d'Essay.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org