15:10 Killarney

Ireland

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle

2m6½f · Hurdle · Good · 14 runners · €15,000 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Magnor Glory

No. 4 · score 71.9 · +0.3 clear of next best · best 22/1·24.00

Best value vs consensus

Talk In The Park

17.5·17.50 Matchbook · +3% vs fair (consensus 16.99)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 26 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way71.0/100 rating

Rebel Budz

12.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Jazzy MattyDiffers from our pick

Jazzy Matty heads this fourteen-runner field at Killarney over the extended two-and-three-quarter miles on good ground with a clear advantage over the nearest challengers, sitting comfortably ahead of Millstream Lady and a touch further clear of Duke Silver and Magnor Glory, who are clustered together on equal ratings. The selection's rating stands well clear of the rest of this field, and while Millstream Lady represents the most obvious threat with the smallest gap to bridge, the margin to the chasing pack is meaningful enough to inspire confidence. Duke Silver and Magnor Glory cannot be dismissed lightly given their identical standing, but Jazzy Matty looks well placed to see out this stiff test and come out on top. The selection is Jazzy Matty.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Magnor Glory

John Shinnick · Terence O'Brien · 10yo

Top-rated of 14

score 71.9 · +0.3 clear of next best (71.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
36d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
83very strong
OR 124
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
Terence O'Brien: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
28weak
Last 6: 4-3-P-4-7

MarketBest price 24.00 (Matchbook) · 10th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(2)
8Talk In The Park 12Stormbreaker
Mid-division(4)
1Duke Silver 4Magnor Glory 9Frankendael 14Butch Coolidge
Hold-up / closers(4)
5Plontier 6Londonofficecallin 10My Trump Card 13Hees Dynamite
Unknown(4)
2Jazzy Matty 3Millstream Lady 7Rebel Budz 11Jupiter Du Gite

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Magnor GloryPick J: John Shinnick · T: Terence O'Brien · draw 0 · combo 2/15 (13%) 10yo · G · bOnly pairing	43P47	11-04	124	—	—	71.9	22/1·24.06	24·24.00 Matchbook All 26 books ▾ Matchbook24·24.00Betano16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Star Sports14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30
6	Londonofficecallin J: Eoin Staples(5) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%) 9yo · G · gt	1P525	11-00	120	—	—	71.7	22/1·24.06	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -23% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Spreadex16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange17·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00
7	Rebel Budz J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Paul O'Flynn · draw 0 7yo · G · br	1421	11-00	120	—	—	71.0	12/1·12.74	12·12.00 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook12·12.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Midnite8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Bet3657/1·8.00Smarkets6.2·6.20SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange3.9·3.90
5	Plontier J: Danny Power(7) · T: Terence O'Brien · draw 0 10yo · C · btpOnly pairing	1467	11-03	123	—	—	70.7	50/1·48.13	40/1·41.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -15% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00Matchbook40·40.00Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00William Hill33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00
11	Jupiter Du Gite J: Michael Kenneally(5) · T: T Hogan · draw 0 7yo · G · bhtOnly runner	30462	10-07	113	—	—	65.0	6/1·7.08	9/2·5.50 Bet365 · -22% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet3659/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Matchbook4.6·4.60LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Star Sports7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Smarkets4.4·4.40SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange3.55·3.55
1	Duke Silver J: J J Slevin · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 0 · combo 1/14 (7%) 6yo · G · b	7603U	11-12	132	—	—	63.9	11/2·6.37	5.2·5.20 Matchbook · -18% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook5.2·5.20Bet3654/1·5.00 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20Smarkets3.95·3.95SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
3	Millstream Lady J: G B Noonan · T: E McNamara · draw 0 · combo 1/11 (9%) 8yo · M · gOnly pairing	13126	11-10	130	—	—	60.3	10/1·10.62	9.2·9.20 Matchbook · -13% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook9.2·9.20Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Smarkets6.2·6.20SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70
8	Talk In The Park J: Eoghan Finegan(5) · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 0 8yo · G · bOnly runner	U25P5	11-00	120	—	—	59.3	16/1·16.99	17.5·17.50 Matchbook · +3% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Matchbook17.5·17.50Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70
2	Jazzy Matty J: Danny Gilligan · T: Cian Collins · draw 0 · combo 2/18 (11%) 7yo · G · chp	05625	11-10	130	—	—	57.6	6/1·7.08	5/1·6.00 Bet365 · -15% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet3655/1·6.00Matchbook6·6.00BetWright9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Star Sports7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Smarkets4.4·4.40SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40
13	Hees Dynamite J: Patrick M O'Brien(5) · T: E McNamara · draw 0 · combo 0/7 (0%) 8yo · G · bOnly pairing	11P20	10-06	112	—	—	55.5	10/1·11.32	15/2·8.50 Bet365 · -25% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet36515/2·8.50 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00Matchbook7.6·7.60Star Sports13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00
10	My Trump Card J: Alex Harvey · T: John C McConnell · draw 0 · combo 2/46 (4%) 8yo · G · bOnly ride	56006	10-09	115	—	—	54.6	40/1·41.05	38·38.00 Matchbook · -7% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Matchbook38·38.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 BresBet28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00
14	Butch Coolidge J: Josh Williamson(3) · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 0 6yo · G · bDGoing 1/4Only pairing	81754	10-00	102	—	—	53.0	28/1·29.73	24·24.00 Matchbook · -19% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Matchbook24·24.00Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80
9	Frankendael J: Daniel King · T: E McNamara · draw 0 7yo · G · bOnly pairing	73066	10-11	117	—	—	51.7	18/1·18.40	14/1·15.00 Paddy Power · -18% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Paddy Power14/1·15.00Matchbook14.5·14.50Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30
12	Stormbreaker J: Paddy Hanlon(5) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 3/53 (6%) 7yo · G · b	000P6	10-07	113	—	—	49.0	40/1·41.05	42·42.00 Matchbook · +2% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook42·42.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange36·36.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Star Sports25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 William Hill20/1·21.00Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 42% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle?

The Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle is off at 15:10 on 22 August 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:10 Killarney?

2m6½f, Hurdle, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:10 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:10 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Magnor Glory (score 71.9, best price 24.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:10 Killarney?

The market favourite is Duke Silver at a best price of 5.20. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Magnor Glory.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org