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17:30 Killarney

Ireland

Laurels Pub (Pro/Am) Flat Race

2m½f · Flat · Good · 9 runners · €7,200 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 7 · score 40.6 · +12.1 clear of next best · best 3/1·3.95
Best value vs consensus
25/1·26.00 Bet365 · +20% vs fair (consensus 21.73)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way21.8/100 rating
Farney Bridge
9.00Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: TeofilDiffers from our pick

Teofil shares the top rating with Farney Bridge at 104, and the fitness edge that tilts us toward him in this sixteen-furlong test at Killarney on good ground is the deciding factor in what is an admittedly close call; Farney Bridge represents the chief threat and Emergency Man, some way below on 86, could outrun expectations if the principals disappoint. Among the unrated runners, Lady Boudica and the others are difficult to assess with confidence, keeping this a low-conviction play. On balance, Teofil is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Emergency Man

Mr B T Stone(7) · Paul Nolan · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 40.6 · +12.1 clear of next best (28.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    37d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Paul Nolan: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 3.95 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
7
J: Mr B T Stone(7) · T: Paul Nolan · draw 0
4yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
2
40.63/1·4.153.95·3.95
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: Mr J L Gleeson · T: J S Bolger · draw 0
4yo · G · bDOnly rideOnly runner
21
28.56/5·2.211.94·1.94
Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
6yo · G · chC&DGoing 1/2Only ride
01
21.89/1·10.228/1·9.00
Paddy Power · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: Miss Georgie Benson(7) · T: Peter John Flood · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
P07
20.080/1·85.6366/1·67.00
Unibet · -22% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Mr P A King(3) · T: Edward F Power · draw 0
5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
014
19.79/1·10.228.6·8.60
Matchbook · -16% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Thomas O'Connor(7) · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 0/11 (0%)
4yo · F · bOnly pairing
P
17.566/1·65.1866/1·67.00
Bet365 · +3% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
5
J: Mr F Colleran(7) · T: V T O'Brien · draw 0
7yo · G · brOnly rideOnly runner
15.066/1·65.1850/1·51.00
Bet Victor · -22% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
8
J: Mr D P Davis(7) · T: Eric Larkin · draw 0
4yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
15.020/1·21.7325/1·26.00
Bet365 · +20% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: Mr A P Ryan(5) · T: T J O'Mara · draw 0
5yo · G · brOnly ride
P
4.540/1·43.4640/1·41.00
Bet365 · -6% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Laurels Pub (Pro/Am) Flat Race?

The Laurels Pub (Pro/Am) Flat Race is off at 17:30 on 22 August 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:30 Killarney?

2m½f, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:30 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:30 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Emergency Man (score 40.6, best price 3.95). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:30 Killarney?

The market favourite is Teofil at a best price of 1.94. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Emergency Man.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org