Who won the 18:18 Windsor on 24 August 2026?
Cape Fear (GB) won the 18:18 Windsor at SP 3.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.
18:18 Windsor
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1m3½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,653 · Monday, 24 August 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 2/1F·3.00Race report
- 1stCape Fear (GB)AI top pick · 58.9Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding2/1F·3.00SP
- 2ndMorcar (GB)Pat Dobbs·Richard Hannon·beaten 5.5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdTai Hang Pegasus (USA)Paddy Bradley·Charlie Fellowes·beaten 1 length100/30·4.33SP
Race time
2m 26.11s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Cape Fear (GB))
“Settled mid-pack early - made ground three out and asked for effort two out - hit the front approaching the final furlong drifting right under pressure - sprinted away close home to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Melek Alreeh
Melek Alreeh sits level at the head of the ratings alongside Raulin, and the case for preferring our selection rests on a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, allied to a fitness edge over rivals who may not be as forward in their preparation. Raulin represents the most obvious threat at the same rating, while Percival and Just An Hour, both rated just four pounds off the top, could outrun their slight deficit if the pace develops to suit them on this good-to-firm ground over twelve furlongs at Windsor. The confidence here is low, but the combination of upward trajectory and race-readiness gives Melek Alreeh the edge, and that is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Cape Fear
Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 58.9 · +1.1 clear of next best (57.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight76strongLast 6: 2-3-2-1-3-2
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 77
- Trainer20% weight40below averageAndrew Balding: 11/70 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketBest price 3.50 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Windsor 1m3½f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.21
High (6–7)
IV 0.85
Today: Raulin (draw 5) and Melek Alreeh (draw 4) get the bias; Just An Hour (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 157 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1 3yo · C · chp | 232132 | 77 | 58.9 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 6yo · G · bb | 056126 | 78 | 46.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 476231 | 78 | 57.8 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Rod Millman · draw 6 6yo · G · b | 263433 | 73 | 50.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: David Egan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 50634 | 83 | 56.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: David Simcock · draw 4 7yo · G · b | 56215 | 85 | 48.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Jason Watson · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 5 4yo · G · btFT T | 76231 | 85 | 54.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:18 Windsor?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Cape Fear, won the race (AI score 58.9).
What were the placings in the 18:18 Windsor?
Top finishers: 1. Cape Fear (GB) (3.00), 2. Morcar (GB) (12.00), 3. Tai Hang Pegasus (USA) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 18:18 Windsor?
The winning time was 2m 26.11s.
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