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14:15 Musselburgh

Irish EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £5,940 · Monday, 24 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/3F·1.33
  1. 1st
    The Mean Fiddler (IRE)AI top pick · 58.4
    Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn
    1/3F·1.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    By Jove Grace (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten .75 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sable Noir (IRE)
    Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten 0.3 lengths
    80/1·81.00
    SP
Race time
59.32s

Race time recorded.

In-running (The Mean Fiddler (IRE))

“Settled just behind the pace early - hit the front before halfway - driven up and lost the advantage for a moment approaching the last furlong - regained command inside the closing stages and kept finding more to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way58.4/100 rating
The Mean Fiddler
5.00LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

The Mean Fiddler

Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 58.4 · +12.8 clear of next best (45.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    John & Sean Quinn: 2/15 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 5.00 (LiveScore Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.89
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.85
High (7–8)
IV 1.25

Today: La Flor Granada (draw 7) and Pivotal Star (draw 8) get the bias; Calef (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
The Mean Fiddler
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 3
2yo · C · ch
22
7958.4
1/3F·1.33
SP
24
By Jove Grace
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1
2yo · F · b
25
—24.2
18/1·19.00
SP
38
Sable Noir
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2
2yo · F · bhFT H
8
—10.0
80/1·81.00
SP
46
Classyfied
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
2yo · F · b
5
—14.5
33/1·34.00
SP
51
Paphos
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 4
2yo · C · b
——15.0
11/2·6.50
SP
65
Calef
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
2yo · F · b
44344U
6745.7
4/1·5.00
SP
77
La Flor Granada
J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 7
2yo · F · b
8
—18.5
150/1·151.00
SP
82
Pivotal Star
J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 8
2yo · G · b
0
—11.0
80/1·81.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Musselburgh on 24 August 2026?

The Mean Fiddler (IRE) won the 14:15 Musselburgh at SP 1.33. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by John & Sean Quinn.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Musselburgh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, The Mean Fiddler, won the race (AI score 58.4).

What were the placings in the 14:15 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. The Mean Fiddler (IRE) (1.33), 2. By Jove Grace (IRE) (19.00), 3. Sable Noir (IRE) (81.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 59.32s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org