Who won the 15:15 Musselburgh on 24 August 2026?
Runninsonofagun (IRE) won the 15:15 Musselburgh at SP 3.25. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Tristan Davidson.
15:15 Musselburgh
'Celebrating Veteran Armed Forces' Selling Handicap Stakes
1m1f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £6,281 · Monday, 24 August 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 9/4F·3.25Race report
- 1stRunninsonofagun (IRE)AI top pick · 55.9Jason Hart·Tristan Davidson9/4F·3.25SP
- 2ndMotawaared (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten .75 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdPrincess Niyla (GB)Tom Eaves·Alan Brown·beaten 1.5 lengths14/1·15.00SP
Race time
1m 52.63s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Runninsonofagun (IRE))
“Set the pace from the off - drew clear from 3f out - driven approaching final 2f and drifted left inside the last 110yds - held on well to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way42.5/100 rating
Motawaared
9.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Runninsonofagun
Runninsonofagun rates a pound below the two top-rated runners but is preferred on a progressive profile and what appears to be a fitness edge in a competitive nine-furlong Class 5 at Musselburgh, where form lines are closely bunched across an eleven-runner field. Yermanthere and Simple Star, both narrowly ahead on ratings, represent the most obvious dangers, with Theme Park not far behind at the same mark as our selection and worthy of respect. The confidence here is modest given the tight nature of the ratings spread and the size of the field, but on balance Runninsonofagun is the one to side with.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Runninsonofagun
Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson · 4yo
Top-rated of 11
score 55.9 · +7.8 clear of next best (48.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight73small sample (n=7)Tristan Davidson: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong7d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 5-1-3-2-2-6
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68 — above field median
MarketBest price 3.75 (BetWright) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m1f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.98
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.19
High (9–11)
IV 0.85
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 28 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Jason Hart · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 9 4yo · G · bb | 513226 | 68 | 55.9 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 4yo · G · bp | 765654 | 58 | 42.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Alan Brown · draw 8 6yo · M · bp | 356537 | 58 | 32.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Brian Ellison · draw 1 5yo · G · bt | 968053 | 52 | 37.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 6 4yo · G · bp | 341760 | 61 | 41.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 8yo · G · ch | 05122 | 70 | 47.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 10 6yo · G · bt | 05123 | 68 | 48.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Iain Jardine · draw 7 6yo · G · chb | 249222 | 60 | 44.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 4 5yo · G · gr | 57876 | 63 | 37.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Sam James · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 11 8yo · G · btpFT TP | 962545 | 65 | 39.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 11 | 11 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5 7yo · G · b | 75578 | 46 | 30.5 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Musselburgh?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Runninsonofagun, won the race (AI score 55.9).
What were the placings in the 15:15 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Runninsonofagun (IRE) (3.25), 2. Motawaared (GB) (8.00), 3. Princess Niyla (GB) (15.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:15 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 52.63s.
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