Who won the 15:45 Musselburgh on 24 August 2026?
Two Commanders (GB) won the 15:45 Musselburgh at SP 4.00. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Edward Bethell.
15:45 Musselburgh
Ina And Ella MacGregor Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners · £6,281 · Monday, 24 August 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 3/1·4.00Race report
- 1stTwo Commanders (GB)AI top pick · 61.2Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndBlakefell (IRE)Jason Hart·Ivan Furtado·beaten 0.3 lengths9/4F·3.25SP
- 3rdVelvet Rhythm (GB)Connor Beasley·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1.25 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
1m 26.44s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Two Commanders (GB))
“Sent to the front early - lost the advantage after 2f but stayed handy - closing on the pace 1f out - regained control inside final 110yds - kept finding to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way61.2/100 rating
Two Commanders
5.10Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Blakefell
Blakefell arrives here with a progressive profile that makes the ratings gap to the top two feel less decisive than it appears on paper, and a fitness edge over those rivals could prove telling over this seven-furlong trip at Musselburgh on good ground. Siouxpersonic heads the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while The Resdev Scholar and Beyond The Bar are capable of running into the money if anything goes wrong. On balance, though, a horse still moving through the gears is preferred to those who may be running closer to their ceiling, and Blakefell is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Two Commanders
Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 61.2 · +6.9 clear of next best (54.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong40d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight73strongLast 6: 3-1-2-3
- Trainer20% weight60averageEdward Bethell: 7/29 winners last 14d (24%)
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
MarketBest price 5.10 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.85
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.97
High (8–10)
IV 1.20
Today: Velvet Rhythm (draw 10) and Blakefell (draw 9) get the bias; Viper (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 5 3yo · G · br | 3123 | 78 | 61.2 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 21632 | 78 | 48.9 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 481130 | 77 | 54.3 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 243302 | 78 | 46.6 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 3yo · F · ro | 44555 | 61 | 45.9 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Brian Ellison · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 73219 | 80 | 50.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Sam James · T: Julie Camacho · draw 2 3yo · F · bh | 71240 | 76 | 42.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Katie Scott · draw 4 3yo · F · br | 767237 | 62 | 43.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 775157 | 74 | 40.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Susan Corbett · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 01080 | 65 | 34.9 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Musselburgh?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Two Commanders, won the race (AI score 61.2).
What were the placings in the 15:45 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Two Commanders (GB) (4.00), 2. Blakefell (IRE) (3.25), 3. Velvet Rhythm (GB) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 26.44s.
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