Who won the 16:45 Musselburgh on 24 August 2026?
Misemerald (IRE) won the 16:45 Musselburgh at SP 4.00. Ridden by Kevin Stott. Trained by Philip Kirby.
16:45 Musselburgh
Watch On Racing TV Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 13 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 24 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stMisemerald (IRE)Kevin Stott·Philip Kirby3/1F·4.00SP
- 2ndAbu Royal (IRE)Billy Garritty·L J Morgan·beaten .75 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdThats My Boy Luke (GB)Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby·beaten 3.5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
1m 39.69s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Misemerald (IRE))
“Handy with the pace - boxed in briefly approaching final furlong - eased left to find space and quickened sharply - hit the front close home - stayed on strongly to score”
AI top-rated Hostelry (score 44.6) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way41.9/100 rating
Misemerald
4.80Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Thats My Boy Luke
Thats My Boy Luke heads a competitive thirteen-runner Class 6 contest at Musselburgh on good ground over eight furlongs, narrowly ahead of Jewel Maker on identical ratings with Hostelry and Elizabeth Bay breathing down their necks just a couple of pounds below, making this a genuinely open affair. The main dangers are clear enough: Jewel Maker matches our selection pound for pound and cannot be dismissed, while Hostelry and Elizabeth Bay are capable of making their presence felt at this level if the trip and conditions suit. Confidence is modest given how tightly the field is bunched at the top, but on balance the edge belongs to Thats My Boy Luke.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Hostelry
Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr · 9yo
Top-rated of 13
score 44.6 · +2.4 clear of next best (42.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight53averageLast 6: 5-5-5-4-5-1
- Ratings50% weight36below averageOR 54 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight30weakRuth Carr: 3/25 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 81.00 (Virgin Bet) · 7th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–5)
IV 0.85
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.97
High (10–13)
IV 1.20
Today: Thats My Boy Luke (draw 12) and Joshuas Dream (draw 10) get the bias; Hostelry (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Philip Kirby · draw 1 5yo · M · bp | 623423 | 47 | 41.9 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Billy Garritty · T: L J Morgan · draw 5 6yo · G · bv | 580367 | 46 | 28.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 12 5yo · G · chb | 470456 | 54 | 34.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 11yo · G · b | 748776 | 52 | 29.6 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7 6yo · G · ch | 934185 | 50 | 42.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Ruth Carr · draw 3 9yo · M · chv | 555451 | 54 | 44.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Alan Brown · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 07970 | 45 | 23.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 8 4yo · F · bv | 048952 | 50 | 33.9 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 10 4yo · G · bp | 08090 | 48 | 33.6 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: John Dawson · draw 13 4yo · G · bp | 6720 | 46 | 27.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 11 | 13 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R K Watson · draw 6 5yo · G · ch | 04688 | 45 | 34.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 12 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 11 4yo · F · ch | 38909 | 55 | 31.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 13 | 12 | J: Connor Beasley · T: John Dawson · draw 9 5yo · M · ch | 5699 | 45 | 25.7 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Hostelry) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 16:45 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Misemerald (IRE) (4.00), 2. Abu Royal (IRE) (17.00), 3. Thats My Boy Luke (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 39.69s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org