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13:05 Curragh

Ireland

Coolmore Stud St Mark's Basilica Irish EBF Maiden

7f · Flat · Good · 16 runners · €13,200 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 5 · score 26.0 · best 5/1·5.90
Best value vs consensus
36·36.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair (consensus 33.77)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way26.0/100 rating
Iveagh House
5.90Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Iveagh House

Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 16
score 26.0 · level with next best (26.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    A P O'Brien: 10/46 winners last 14d (22%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 5.90 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 16.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 0.96
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.99
High (12–16)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
5
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 13/93 (14%)
2yo · C · ch
26.05/1·5.875.9·5.90
Matchbook
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien · draw 12 · combo 2/37 (5%)
2yo · C · chOnly ride
26.014/1·14.6810/1·11.00
Paddy Power · -25% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
13
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 3 · combo 10/82 (12%)
2yo · G · ch
25.580/1·74.88150·150.00
Matchbook · +100% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
10
J: Leigh Roche · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 4
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
23.516/1·16.1523·23.00
Matchbook · +42% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 14 · combo 6/72 (8%)
2yo · G · b
22.528/1·27.9055·55.00
Matchbook · +97% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 15 · combo 43/213 (20%)
2yo · C · b
22.55/2·3.497/4·2.75
LiveScore Bet · -21% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
7
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 7 · combo 7/67 (10%)
2yo · C · b
21.012/1·13.2114·14.00
Matchbook · +6% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: N G McCullagh · T: J P Murtagh · draw 9
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
18.550/1·49.9238·38.00
Matchbook · -24% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 16 · combo 14/114 (12%)
2yo · C · b
18.511/1·12.489/1·10.00
Bet365 · -20% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: James Ryan · T: G M Lyons · draw 2
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
18.528/1·30.8355·55.00
Matchbook · +78% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
12
J: Jamie Powell · T: J P Murtagh · draw 8 · combo 0/11 (0%)
2yo · C · chOnly pairing
18.533/1·33.7760·60.00
Matchbook · +78% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
15
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J P Murtagh · draw 11 · combo 0/14 (0%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
18.533/1·33.7736·36.00
Matchbook · +7% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
14
J: W J Lee · T: Noel Meade · draw 13
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
18.066/1·60.2050/1·51.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -15% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
11
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 10 · combo 19/161 (12%)
2yo · C · b
16.516/1·17.6211/1·12.00
BetTom · -32% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Donal Commins · draw 5
2yo · C · bOnly runner
15.080/1·74.88150·150.00
Matchbook · +100% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
16
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 6 · combo 0/21 (0%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
15.0100/1·98.38200·200.00
Matchbook · +103% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 47% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Coolmore Stud St Mark's Basilica Irish EBF Maiden?

The Coolmore Stud St Mark's Basilica Irish EBF Maiden is off at 13:05 on 22 August 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:05 Curragh?

7f, Flat, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:05 Curragh?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:05 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Iveagh House (score 26.0, best price 5.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:05 Curragh?

The market favourite is Monogram at a best price of 2.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Iveagh House.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org