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14:15 Curragh

Ireland

Mitsubishi Electric Handicap

6f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €21,000 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 53.8 · +0.5 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.20

Drawn 11, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way53.8/100 rating
Chicago Pope
7.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: KekeDiffers from our pick

Keke heads this twelve-runner field at the Curragh on good ground over six furlongs, rated narrowly ahead of Howd'yadoit and a clear step above Chicago Pope and Gavoo, who round out the main dangers, and his form entitles him to go well here if reproducing his best on this surface. Howd'yadoit will press hardest given the closeness of the ratings gap, while Chicago Pope and Gavoo cannot be dismissed if the pace sets up to suit them. Confidence is medium rather than high, and punters should be aware the race could easily be decided by conditions on the day, but the ratings edge and overall profile point in one direction. Keke is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Chicago Pope

Ben Coen · J P Murtagh · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 53.8 · +0.5 clear of next best (53.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 0-1-2-1-4
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    70d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 89 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    J P Murtagh: 2/29 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketBest price 7.20 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.03
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.84
High (9–12)
IV 1.12

Today: Chicago Pope (draw 11) and Moltophino (draw 10) get the bias; Genesis (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 11 · combo 14/114 (12%)
3yo · G · bp
01214
8953.813/2·7.527.2·7.20
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
3yo · F · bOnly runner
51
8753.37/1·8.207.6·7.60
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: Shane Foley · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 3
8yo · G · btOnly pairing
002625
8152.97/1·8.2011/2·6.50
Paddy Power · -21% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
J: W J Lee · T: Edward Lynam · draw 4 · combo 1/6 (17%)
6yo · G · bt3lb below win markGoing 1/3Only pairing
135144
9951.513/2·7.527.2·7.20
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Jared Huggan(10) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 2 · combo 0/14 (0%)
4yo · G · bpFT POnly ride
06266
7949.450/1·46.4940/1·41.00
Bet365 · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 8 · combo 8/69 (12%)
5yo · G · chtpCGoing 1/3Only runner
031362
8349.46/1·6.845/1·6.00
Bet365 · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
11
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: H Rogers · draw 5 · combo 2/11 (18%)
6yo · G · bbDGoing 2/4Only runner
696112
7548.911/1·12.3111·11.00
Matchbook · -11% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: G M Lyons · draw 7
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
417480
9548.640/1·39.6533/1·34.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -14% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
J: Chris Hayes · T: John Andrew Kinsella · draw 10 · combo 0/8 (0%)
5yo · G · btbOnly runner
09799
7947.822/1·23.2416/1·17.00
Bet365 · -27% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
7
J: Andrew Slattery · T: David Marnane · draw 12 · combo 1/5 (20%)
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
49253
8246.811/1·12.319.4·9.40
Matchbook · -24% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
10
J: Gavin Ryan · T: John James Feane · draw 6
3yo · F · chDOnly runner
0310
8042.140/1·39.6533/1·34.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -14% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
12
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Edward Lynam · draw 9
8yo · G · btvDOnly pairing
07671
7540.214/1·15.0414·14.00
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 37% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Mitsubishi Electric Handicap?

The Mitsubishi Electric Handicap is off at 14:15 on 22 August 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:15 Curragh?

6f, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:15 Curragh?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:15 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Chicago Pope (score 53.8, best price 7.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:15 Curragh?

The market favourite is Genesis at a best price of 6.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Chicago Pope.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org