16:00 Curragh

Ireland

Neville O'Byrne Memorial Irish EBF Fillies Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €15,601 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Yousaynothingatall

No. 6 · score 60.1 · +0.1 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.50

Best value vs consensus

My Girl Grace

17·17.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair (consensus 13.73)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way60.1/100 rating

Yousaynothingatall

4.50Bet365

Place portion settles at 1.70 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: MarazionDiffers from our pick

Marazion heads this twelve-runner Curragh mile-and-a-half contest on good ground narrowly ahead of Navy Waters and Denim And Diamonds, and her rating advantage, though modest, reflects a profile that should see her travel well over this trip. Navy Waters is the most obvious threat, just two pounds behind and capable of closing that gap on the day, while Denim And Diamonds cannot be dismissed either, sitting a further pound back and representing genuine competition in a competitive staying heat. Railwayview Lady, rated seven pounds below our selection, would need a step forward to trouble the principals, though the open nature of the field means a smooth run through will matter. Marazion is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Yousaynothingatall

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 12

score 60.1 · +0.1 clear of next best (60.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
35d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
74strong
Last 6: 3-3-1-3-2
Ratings50% weight
59average
OR 88 — above field median
Trainer20% weight
38below average
Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 9/62 winners last 14d (15%)

MarketBest price 4.50 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(5)
1Marazion 3Navy Waters 6Yousaynothingatall 7Vanir 8Nellcote
Mid-division(3)
4Beauparc 10Killyclogher Rose 11My Girl Grace
Hold-up / closers(3)
5Railwayview Lady 9Letiza 12Neo Smart
Unknown(1)
2Denim And Diamonds

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.10

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.13

High (9–12)

IV 0.78

Today: Vanir (draw 5) and Beauparc (draw 7) get the bias; Nellcote (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	YousaynothingatallPick J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 43/213 (20%) 3yo · F · bp	33132	9-04	88	—	—	60.1	5/1·5.95	7/2·4.50 Bet365 · -24% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet3657/2·4.50Matchbook4.4·4.40Bet Victor10/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
8	Nellcote J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 9 · combo 6/72 (8%) 3yo · F · chD	41	8-13	83	—	—	60.0	10/1·10.99	8/1·9.00 Bet365 · -18% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet3658/1·9.00Matchbook8·8.00Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet13/2·7.50LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80Smarkets6.8·6.80SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50
7	Vanir J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 5 · combo 14/114 (12%) 3yo · F · bDGoing 1/2	8213	9-03	87	—	—	55.1	6/1·6.87	6.4·6.40 Matchbook · -7% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Matchbook6.4·6.40Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Exchange4.4·4.40 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33
5	Railwayview Lady J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 1 · combo 2/29 (7%) 4yo · F · bOnly ride	20889	9-04	79	—	—	51.7	16/1·17.85	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -24% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60
4	Beauparc J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 7 · combo 0/7 (0%) 6yo · M · btOnly runner	726620	9-04	79	—	—	50.0	28/1·28.84	25/1·26.00 Bet365 · -10% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet36525/1·26.00Matchbook21·21.00Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betfair Exchange6·6.00
3	Navy Waters J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 8 · combo 4/52 (8%) 5yo · M · gvOnly runner	35453	9-10	85	—	—	49.8	8/1·8.93	8/1·9.00 Bet365 All 26 books ▾ Bet3658/1·9.00 Unibet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50Matchbook6.4·6.40BetTom5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange5.1·5.10Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50
1	Marazion J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 11 · combo 19/161 (12%) 4yo · F · b	71266	10-00	89	—	—	48.0	10/1·10.99	10/1·11.00 Bet365 All 26 books ▾ Bet36510/1·11.00Matchbook9.4·9.40Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50
10	Killyclogher Rose J: Wayne Lordan · T: A Oliver · draw 12 4yo · F · bGoing 1/2Only pairing	63516	8-08	69	—	—	47.7	25/1·26.09	19.5·19.50 Matchbook · -25% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Matchbook19.5·19.50Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80
2	Denim And Diamonds J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 10 · combo 0/8 (0%) 4yo · F · btOnly ride	80784	9-10	85	—	—	46.6	25/1·26.09	22/1·23.00 Bet365 · -12% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet36522/1·23.00Matchbook19.5·19.50Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
9	Letiza J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 2 · combo 3/91 (3%) 6yo · M · b	86024	8-12	73	—	—	46.2	14/1·15.10	18·18.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Coral10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Star Sports10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Bet3659/1·10.00Smarkets9.2·9.20SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50
11	My Girl Grace J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: G M Lyons · draw 6 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	177	8-07	77	—	—	45.0	12/1·13.73	17·17.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook17·17.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Bet36517/2·9.50Smarkets8.8·8.80SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
12	Neo Smart J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: J S Bolger · draw 3 5yo · M · btOnly runner	774546	8-07	68	—	—	35.8	11/1·11.67	9/1·10.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -14% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Matchbook8.6·8.60Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50Smarkets7.2·7.20SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange3.1·3.10

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 37% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Neville O'Byrne Memorial Irish EBF Fillies Handicap?

The Neville O'Byrne Memorial Irish EBF Fillies Handicap is off at 16:00 on 22 August 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:00 Curragh?

1m4f, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:00 Curragh?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:00 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Yousaynothingatall (score 60.1, best price 4.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:00 Curragh?

The market favourite is Yousaynothingatall at a best price of 4.50.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org