Who won the 15:45 Musselburgh on 25 August 2026?
Gallus Norman (GB) won the 15:45 Musselburgh at SP 15.00. Ridden by Amie Waugh. Trained by Jim Goldie.
15:45 Musselburgh
Portobello Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
2m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £10,468 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stGallus Norman (GB)Amie Waugh·Jim Goldie14/1·15.00SP
- 2ndFast Fred (GB)Sam James·Phillip Makin·beaten 3.25 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdTrojan Sun (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten 4.25 lengths8/1·9.00SP
Race time
3m 56.98s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Gallus Norman (GB))
“Settled third early - moved wide to reach the front group 4f out - hit the front past 2f out - pulled clear approaching the final furlong - stayed on strongly to score”
AI top-rated Is She Now (score 64.2) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Vaguely Royal
Vaguely Royal rates 3 lb behind the top-rated Fast Fred on these figures, but a progressive profile makes a compelling case that the bare ratings understate his current ability, and over an extended trip of eighteen furlongs on good ground at Musselburgh there is every reason to expect further improvement. Fast Fred heads the field on ratings and must be respected, while Inappropriate shares the second rating and Florida Dreams is not far adrift, so the race is competitive enough to keep any margin tight. The verdict lands with Vaguely Royal.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Is She Now
Duran Fentiman · Daragh Bourke · 8yo
Top-rated of 11
score 64.2 · +10.3 clear of next best (53.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=4)Daragh Bourke: 3/4 winners last 14d (75%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight83very strongLast 6: 1-1-4-2-2-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong10d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
MarketBest price 95.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 2m2f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.17
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.64
High (9–11)
IV 1.13
Today: Vaguely Royal (draw 3) and Inappropriate (draw 4) get the bias; Is She Now (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 7yo · G · b | 213153 | 66 | 53.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 9 6yo · G · bp | 284022 | 75 | 53.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1 6yo · G · bp | 816307 | 73 | 48.0 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 097523 | 63 | 46.3 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Iain Jardine · draw 10 6yo · G · bb | 00541 | 66 | 44.8 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Ian Williams · draw 3 6yo · G · brv | 333611 | 73 | 52.5 | 4/1F·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 11 7yo · G · bh | 213433 | 63 | 51.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 4 5yo · G · chtp | 624321 | 76 | 50.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 7 8yo · M · chvFT V | 114221 | 62 | 64.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Kevin Stott · T: Mrs A M Thomson · draw 2 8yo · G · bp | 535 | 70 | 47.8 | — |
| — | — | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 5 5yo · G · bp | 62351 | 64 | 46.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Is She Now) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Gallus Norman (GB) (15.00), 2. Fast Fred (GB) (12.00), 3. Trojan Sun (GB) (9.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 3m 56.98s.
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