Who won the 16:15 Musselburgh on 25 August 2026?
Novak (GB) won the 16:15 Musselburgh at SP 4.50. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Iain Jardine.
16:15 Musselburgh
AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,664 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stNovak (GB)Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndLuminous Warrior (IRE)Connor Beasley·Christopher Kellett·beaten 0.3 lengths22/1·23.00SP
- 3rdVince Le Prince (GB)Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.75 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
1m 26.17s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Novak (GB))
“Settled off the pace in the pack - urged forward approaching 2f out - shifted across and gained ground inside the final furlong - stayed on well to score close home”
AI top-rated Coconut Bay (score 55.2) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way46.9/100 rating
Monhammer
12.00Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Gressington
Gressington heads this eleven-runner Class 6 contest at Musselburgh on good ground holding a narrow edge over Vince Le Prince, who represents the most obvious threat alongside Novak and Evangelic in what looks a closely matched and competitive seven-furlong heat. The low confidence here reflects how little separates the principals, and any one of that trio could overturn the selection on the day. On balance, though, Gressington's rating gives him a slender advantage over his rivals and he is taken to make it count. Gressington is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Coconut Bay
Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson · 7yo
Top-rated of 11
score 55.2 · +6.8 clear of next best (48.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight95small sample (n=8)Tristan Davidson: 3/8 winners last 14d (38%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight85very strong40d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight50averageLast 6: 3-0-7-4-3-2
- Ratings50% weight35below averageOR 53
MarketBest price 200.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 10th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.85
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.97
High (9–11)
IV 1.20
Today: Keep Me Stable (draw 10) and Gressington (draw 9) get the bias; Edmond Halley (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 1 7yo · G · gr | 523442 | 62 | 45.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Christopher Kellett · draw 2 4yo · G · bt | 786211 | 62 | 45.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 11 6yo · G · btp | 530203 | 65 | 38.0 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Sam James · T: Katie Scott · draw 9 5yo · G · grv | 080747 | 63 | 38.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 007533 | 57 | 48.4 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Mark Winn · T: Linda Perratt · draw 8 8yo · G · b | 324611 | 55 | 46.9 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Linda Perratt · draw 10 6yo · M · b | 70823 | 58 | 42.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 082931 | 57 | 39.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Jason Hart · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 5 7yo · M · b | 307432 | 53 | 55.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R K Watson · draw 4 4yo · G · btpFT TP | 4040 | 63 | 33.1 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7 4yo · G · bp | 80909 | 48 | 31.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Coconut Bay) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 16:15 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Novak (GB) (4.50), 2. Luminous Warrior (IRE) (23.00), 3. Vince Le Prince (GB) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 26.17s.
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