19:15 Hamilton

Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div I)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £5,286 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Lipsink

No. 3 · score 53.6 · +1.7 clear of next best · best 7/1·8.00

Best value vs consensus

Belsito

9.8·9.80 Smarkets · +12% vs fair (consensus 8.76)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way53.6/100 rating

Lipsink

8.00Betfair Sportsbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Lipsink

Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby · 9yo

Top-rated of 11

score 53.6 · +1.7 clear of next best (51.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
78strong
Last 6: 1-1-1-4-2
Freshness10% weight
65strong
70d since last run (rusty)
Ratings50% weight
52average
OR 78
Trainer20% weight
28weak
Michael Appleby: 2/18 winners last 14d (11%)

MarketBest price 8.00 (Betfair Sportsbook) · 3rd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
2Sir Garfield 6Belsito 7Shoot To Kill
Prominent(3)
1Hunky Dory 8Abduction 10Ashen
Mid-division(1)
11Whiskey Kisses
Hold-up / closers(3)
4Jannas Journey 5Wreck It Ryley 9Stirrup Cup
Unknown(1)
3Lipsink

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.19

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.00

High (9–11)

IV 0.79

Today: Shoot To Kill (draw 4) and Jannas Journey (draw 3) get the bias; Ashen (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	LipsinkPick J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 8 · combo 2/30 (7%) 9yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner	11142	9-12	78	—	—	53.6	17/2·9.44	7/1·8.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -15% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00Smarkets7.8·7.80Matchbook7.8·7.80SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20 BetMGM6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00William Hill6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Bet3655/1·6.00
8	Abduction J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5 · combo 0/12 (0%) 8yo · G · bOnly ride	773332	9-08	74	—	—	51.9	10/1·11.46	11·11.00 Matchbook · -4% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Midnite8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00Smarkets9·9.00BetTom15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00
10	Ashen J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 · combo 11/123 (9%) 4yo · G · ch	134202	9-02	68	—	—	49.0	10/1·11.46	9/1·10.00 Bet365 · -13% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Matchbook8.2·8.207Bet7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange8·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00
6	Belsito J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 6 · combo 4/73 (5%) 6yo · G · bpC&D	80413	9-09	75	—	—	48.3	8/1·8.76	9.8·9.80 Smarkets · +12% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets9.8·9.80SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Bet36513/2·7.50Matchbook7·7.007Bet11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00
2	Sir Garfield J: David Nolan · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 11 5yo · G · bbDOnly runner	11682	9-13	79	—	—	47.9	9/2·5.39	7/2·4.50 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3657/2·4.50 Betfred10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Smarkets4.1·4.107Bet3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00 Betfair Exchange3.55·3.55Matchbook3.55·3.55
7	Shoot To Kill J: Shane Gray · T: Noel C Kelly · draw 4 9yo · G · bp	032836	9-08	74	—	—	47.4	10/1·10.78	9/1·10.00 Bet365 · -7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00Matchbook9·9.00Smarkets9·9.00Coral8/1·9.00 Midnite15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Betfair Exchange6·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00
1	Hunky Dory J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Linda Perratt · draw 7 · combo 1/11 (9%) 4yo · G · chpOnly ride	518636	10-00	80	—	—	47.4	16/1·16.17	16/1·17.00 Bet365 · +5% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet36516/1·17.00Matchbook15.5·15.50William Hill12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange8·8.00Smarkets5.3·5.30SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00
4	Jannas Journey J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 · combo 4/26 (15%) 5yo · M · b	848149	9-12	78	—	—	46.0	28/1·31.00	25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports · -16% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.007Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Smarkets19·19.00Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange11·11.00
9	Stirrup Cup J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 · combo 20/202 (10%) 4yo · G · btpD	23915	9-07	73	—	—	44.0	16/1·16.17	15.5·15.50 Matchbook · -4% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook15.5·15.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Smarkets14·14.00Midnite12/1·13.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 BresBet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.007Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Betfair Exchange8·8.00
5	Wreck It Ryley J: Cieren Fallon · T: Alan Brown · draw 2 6yo · G · grvOnly runner	838963	9-11	77	—	—	41.8	8/1·8.76	11/2·6.50 7Bet · -26% vs fair All 28 books ▾ 7Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Smarkets5.8·5.80SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Matchbook5.5·5.50Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80
11	Whiskey Kisses J: Greg Fairley · T: R Mike Smith · draw 10 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	609332	8-08	63	—	—	41.5	16/1·17.52	18·18.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 35% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div I)?

The Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div I) is off at 19:15 on 21 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:15 Hamilton?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:15 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:15 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Lipsink (score 53.6, best price 8.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:15 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Sir Garfield at a best price of 4.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lipsink.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org