16:18 Redcar

Every Race Live On Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 12 runners · £4,320 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Green Bay Dream

No. 1 · score 46.7 · +21.8 clear of next best · best 13/2·7.40

Best value vs consensus

Commander Keith

42·42.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair (consensus 39.40)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way46.7/100 rating

Green Bay Dream

7.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Green Bay Dream

Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby · 2yo

Top-rated of 12

score 46.7 · +21.8 clear of next best (24.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
7d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
66strong
Last 6: 2-3
Ratings50% weight
48below average
OR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
13weak
Tim Easterby: 4/85 winners last 14d (5%)

MarketBest price 7.40 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(1)
4Don't Stop Movin
Mid-division(1)
5Dontlookanyfurther
Hold-up / closers(3)
3Ubetawatchout 7Whichonesthat 9Piper Cee
Unknown(7)
1Green Bay Dream 2On Golden Pond 6Hey Dougie 8Orfilia 10Commander Keith 11Seadreamin 12Callisterra

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.02

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.98

High (9–12)

IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Green Bay DreamPick J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 · combo 5/115 (4%) 2yo · C · bClass drop	23	9-07	72	—	—	46.7	13/2·7.47	7.4·7.40 Matchbook All 28 books ▾ Matchbook7.4·7.40Betfair Exchange7·7.00Smarkets6.6·6.60SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Star Sports4/1·5.00
12	Callisterra J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	52	8-13	—	—	—	24.9	9/2·5.40	4/1·5.00 Bet365 · -7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3654/1·5.00 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33Smarkets4.1·4.10Betfred3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00Matchbook3.95·3.95Betfair Exchange3.9·3.90 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 Paddy Power11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 BresBet11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50
2	On Golden Pond J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 11 · combo 2/19 (11%) 2yo · C · bClass drop	4	9-07	—	—	—	24.5	7/2·4.42	4.5·4.50 Matchbook · +2% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook4.5·4.50Smarkets4.2·4.20SmarketsSBK16/5·4.20 Betfair Exchange4·4.00 William Hill9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 7Bet9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Paddy Power9/4·3.25 Bet Victor85/40·3.13 Unibet85/40·3.13 Betano85/40·3.13 Star Sports2/1·3.00
9	Piper Cee J: Lewis Edmunds · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 2yo · F · bClass drop	7	9-02	—	—	—	24.0	20/1·20.38	30·30.00 Matchbook · +47% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook30·30.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00BresBet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Smarkets6.2·6.20SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00
11	Seadreamin J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 · combo 0/11 (0%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-01	—	—	—	24.0	20/1·20.38	40·40.00 Matchbook · +96% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook40·40.00Smarkets30·30.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00
8	Orfilia J: Sean D Bowen · T: David O'Meara · draw 12 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	22.5	11/1·12.23	27·27.00 Matchbook · +121% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50Smarkets9.6·9.60Bet36517/2·9.50 BetTom8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Betano15/2·8.50
4	Don't Stop Movin J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 · combo 9/88 (10%) 2yo · C · bClass drop	26	9-04	—	—	—	22.4	5/1·5.88	4.5·4.50 Matchbook · -23% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook4.5·4.50Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50Smarkets4.4·4.40BetMGM10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Spreadex3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00
10	Commander Keith J: William Pyle · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 3 · combo 2/31 (6%) 2yo · C · chOnly runner	—	9-01	—	—	—	20.0	40/1·39.40	42·42.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook42·42.00Smarkets38·38.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 BresBet28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50
3	Ubetawatchout J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 8 · combo 4/53 (8%) 2yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing	86	9-07	—	—	—	17.8	100/1·110.05	100/1·101.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -8% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 7Bet80/1·81.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 BresBet80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00William Hill80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00Matchbook75·75.00Smarkets70·70.00Star Sports66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 SmarketsSBK66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50
7	Whichonesthat J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 10 · combo 7/78 (9%) 2yo · G · bClass drop	7	9-04	—	—	—	17.5	100/1·110.05	100/1·101.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -8% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 7Bet80/1·81.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 BresBet80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Unibet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 William Hill80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00Matchbook70·70.00BetMGM66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00Smarkets38·38.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00
5	Dontlookanyfurther J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 4 · combo 3/73 (4%) 2yo · C · chClass drop	6	9-04	—	—	—	16.5	16/1·17.66	14/1·15.00 Paddy Power · -15% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Paddy Power14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.007Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Matchbook11.5·11.50Smarkets9.6·9.60SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
6	Hey Dougie J: James Sullivan · T: Philip Kirby · draw 1 2yo · C · grClass dropOnly pairing	00	9-04	—	—	—	12.5	200/1·222.15	300·300.00 Matchbook · +35% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook300·300.00Unibet200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 BresBet200/1·201.00 Dragon Bet200/1·201.00 7Bet200/1·201.00 BetWright200/1·201.00 Bet365200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Midnite200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet175/1·176.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 BetMGM150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 Boyle Sports150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet150/1·151.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00 SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00Smarkets48·48.00Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 36% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Every Race Live On Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)?

The Every Race Live On Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) is off at 16:18 on 22 August 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:18 Redcar?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:18 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:18 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Green Bay Dream (score 46.7, best price 7.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:18 Redcar?

The market favourite is On Golden Pond at a best price of 4.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Green Bay Dream.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org