Who won the 16:15 Catterick on 26 August 2026?
Novamay (GB) won the 16:15 Catterick at SP 5.50. Ridden by Rhys Elliott. Trained by Michael Dods.
16:15 Catterick
Oops A Daisy Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £5,234 · Wednesday, 26 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stNovamay (GB)Rhys Elliott·Michael Dods9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndCanaria Queen (GB)Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 3 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdCall Margot (IRE)Connor Beasley·Gemma Tutty·beaten .75 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
57.08s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Novamay (GB))
“Handy in the pack early - travelling strongly with two out - shaken up to hit the front approaching the final furlong - sprinted away for an easy win”
AI top-rated Our Absent Friends (score 59.2) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way51.3/100 rating
Novamay
7.00Hollywood Bets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Marching Mac
Marching Mac may sit six pounds below the top-rated Canon's House on paper, but a progressive profile suggests there is more improvement to come and that narrow gap on ratings understates the case for him on today's terms over this sharp five furlongs at Catterick on good ground. Canon's House and Fidelius, a pound apart at the head of the ratings, will pose the sternest test, and Novamay, rated level with our selection, cannot be dismissed either. The confidence is measured rather than absolute, yet the upward trajectory makes Marching Mac the most compelling pick in the race.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Our Absent Friends
Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson · 8yo
Top-rated of 10
score 59.2 · +5.1 clear of next best (54.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight95small sample (n=8)Tristan Davidson: 3/8 winners last 14d (38%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong9d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight54averageLast 6: 3-7-9-1-9-1
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 67
MarketBest price 67.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 6th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Catterick 5f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.36
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.79
High (8–10)
IV 0.80
Today: Novamay (draw 3) and Canon's House (draw 2) get the bias; Secret Mistral (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 95168 | 83 | 51.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 6yo · M · blp | 155282 | 68 | 42.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 4 3yo · F · g | 172600 | 79 | 37.6 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 7 6yo · M · ch | 38213 | 81 | 54.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Jason Hart · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 9 8yo · G · ch | 379191 | 67 | 59.2 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 125602 | 84 | 49.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Ruth Carr · draw 5 3yo · F · gr | 774110 | 83 | 52.0 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10 5yo · G · btb | 679020 | 71 | 37.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 506347 | 84 | 45.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Grace McEntee · T: Phil McEntee · draw 8 5yo · G · bt | 40431 | 84 | 46.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Catterick?
No — the AI top pick (Our Absent Friends) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:15 Catterick?
Top finishers: 1. Novamay (GB) (5.50), 2. Canaria Queen (GB) (5.50), 3. Call Margot (IRE) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Catterick?
The winning time was 57.08s.
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