Who won the 16:10 Newbury on 26 August 2026?
Mobadir (IRE) won the 16:10 Newbury at SP 3.50. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.
16:10 Newbury
Pump Technology Nursery Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 14 runners · £5,757 · Wednesday, 26 August 2026
Result
Result settledRace report
- 1stMobadir (IRE)Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndPrimal (GB)Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.25 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
- 3rdMagi Melchior (GB)Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 1 length22/1·23.00SP
Race time
1m 24.60s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Mobadir (IRE))
“Led from the outset - pushed along inside final two furlongs - stayed on strongly to the line - won”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way49.8/100 rating
Regal Tiger
8.20Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Primal
Primal is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests more improvement is still to come, even if Global Success heads the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly in a competitive fifteen-runner Class 5 contest over seven furlongs at Newbury on good-to-firm ground. Magi Melchior and Regal Tiger also represent genuine dangers and make this a tricky puzzle to solve, hence confidence is tempered. On balance, however, Primal's upward trajectory gives reason to think the ratings picture does not tell the full story, and he is the one to be on.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Golden Oasis
Robbie Downey · Robert Edwards · 2yo
Top-rated of 15
score 63.5 · +8.7 clear of next best (54.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=1)Robert Edwards: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight85very strong49d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 8-5-1
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
MarketBest price 250.00 (Matchbook) · 10th in the market of 15.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–5)
IV 0.99
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.16
High (11–15)
IV 0.86
Today: Primal (draw 10) and Regal Tiger (draw 6) get the bias; Mino (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 2yo · G · b | 6671 | 72 | 46.6 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 10 2yo · C · ch | 6484 | 73 | 51.2 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 440 | 75 | 41.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 14 | J: David Egan · T: J S Moore · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 53238 | 61 | 49.3 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 12 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 5 2yo · F · bp | 563252 | 67 | 53.6 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: J F Egan · T: Dean Ivory · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 955 | 69 | 38.2 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 7 | 13 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 12 2yo · F · b | 515 | 67 | 43.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 383 | 73 | 50.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 15 2yo · C · b | 562 | 69 | 44.6 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 3 2yo · F · ch | 01 | 69 | 46.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 11 | 15 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Hughes · draw 14 2yo · C · ch | 8057 | 59 | 39.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 12 | 5 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 13 2yo · C · b | 652 | 73 | 54.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 13 | 7 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Charles Hills · draw 11 2yo · G · b | 651065 | 70 | 45.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| UR | 11 | J: Robbie Downey · T: Robert Edwards · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 851 | 68 | 63.5 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 422 | 73 | 49.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Newbury?
No — the AI top pick (Golden Oasis) finished UR.
What were the placings in the 16:10 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Mobadir (IRE) (3.50), 2. Primal (GB) (2.62), 3. Magi Melchior (GB) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:10 Newbury?
The winning time was 1m 24.60s.
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