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RacingAlpha

17:30 Bellewstown

Ireland

Ploughman Bar & Grill Handicap (Div II)

1m · Flat · Good To Yielding · 15 runners · €6,000 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Albion PowerDiffers from our pick

Albion Power holds a progressive profile that makes him the preferred pick in this competitive eight-furlong contest on good-to-soft ground at Bellewstown, and that upward trajectory gives reason to believe his current rating of 64 does not tell the full story. The top-rated Perfect Judgement sits narrowly ahead on 67, and that rival cannot be dismissed, while Land Of The Giants on 63 and Bright Dick on 62 also enter the danger column in what shapes as a closely matched heat. Albion Power's improving profile suggests there is more to come, and on that basis he is fancied to come out on top.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Land Of The Giants

Adam Caffrey · Adrian McGuinness · 4yo

Top-rated of 15
score 41.9 · +0.7 clear of next best (41.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Adrian McGuinness: 5/25 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    30weak
    Last 6: 3-7-3-6-0-4
MarketBest price 8.00 (BetMGM) · 4th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Bellewstown 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.08
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.98
High (11–15)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 58 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 4
4yo · G · ch
373604
5741.98/1·9.037/1·8.00
BetMGM · -11% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
13
J: Ben Coen · T: Mrs Denise Foster · draw 11
5yo · M · br
00642
4341.213/2·7.647.6·7.60
Betfair Exchange
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Luke McAteer · T: Keith Henry Clarke · draw 7
5yo · G · br
98490
6041.016/1·16.6716/1·17.00
LiveScore Bet · +2% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Colin Keane · T: Gerard Keane · draw 15
4yo · F · bpFT P
60603
6040.15/1·6.256·6.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: W J Lee · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 5
4yo · G · btb
304762
5939.015/2·8.337.4·7.40
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
3
J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 9
8yo · G · chp
395170
5936.218/1·18.0616.5·16.50
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
5
J: Ronan Whelan · T: P J F Murphy · draw 13
5yo · G · bp
777502
5933.110/1·11.1110.5·10.50
Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
9
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 6
4yo · G · chtp
20100
5132.011/1·12.5011.5·11.50
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
7
4yo · F · b
80570
5229.566/1·70.8495·95.00
Smarkets · +34% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
14
6yo · G · btb
750397
4024.514/1·15.2814·14.00
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
12
J: Zoe McMullan(10) · T: G A Kingston · draw 12
9yo · G · bh
00380
4524.433/1·36.1133/1·34.00
BetMGM · -6% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Luke W Comer · draw 1
6yo · C · bp
50093
5124.266/1·70.8495·95.00
Smarkets · +34% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
10
J: Leigh Roche · T: Oliver McKiernan · draw 14
4yo · F · bt
80999
4622.940/1·40.2855·55.00
Betfair Exchange · +37% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
11
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 10
4yo · G · bbFT B
000
4519.525/1·26.3965·65.00
Smarkets · +146% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
15
J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: P Sweeney · draw 3
9yo · G · b
00900
4018.1100/1·112.51240·240.00
Smarkets · +113% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 39% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org