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18:02 Bellewstown

Ireland

Gleeson's Bar, Drogheda, Home Of Racing Handicap

1m · Flat · Good To Yielding · 15 runners · €18,000 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: GlyndwrDiffers from our pick

Glyndwr heads a competitive 18-runner field at Bellewstown over eight furlongs on good-to-soft ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Exquisite Acclaim and Morehampton, who are both rated a pound behind and represent the most pressing dangers along with Bundle Of Interest, a further pound back in fourth. The selection's edge over such a closely matched group is slender, but in a race where every pound can matter on a testing surface, that marginal superiority is enough to tip the balance in a wide-open contest. Exquisite Acclaim and Morehampton will need to find improvement to overturn the difference, while Bundle Of Interest cannot be entirely dismissed either. Glyndwr is our selection to take this one.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Goal Exceeded

Adam Caffrey · Adrian McGuinness · 5yo

Top-rated of 18
score 56.3 · +2.4 clear of next best (53.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 2-0-3-1-4-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Adrian McGuinness: 5/25 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketBest price 7.20 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Bellewstown 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 1.08
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.98
High (13–18)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 58 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 2
5yo · G · bt
203144
7656.38/1·8.777.2·7.20
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
J: · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 3
4yo · F · g
084121
5953.910/1·11.178.4·8.40
Betfair Exchange · -25% vs fair
All 22 books ▾
4
J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 17
4yo · G · bt
062332
7451.911/1·11.5710.5·10.50
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 10
3yo · G · b
323
7651.57/1·7.986.2·6.20
Smarkets · -22% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
16
9yo · G · gv
125641
6550.622/1·23.9327·27.00
Matchbook · +13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 18
4yo · G · bp
07534
8049.522/1·23.9324·24.00
Betfair Exchange
All 21 books ▾
5
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 11
5yo · M · cht
800336
7349.225/1·27.1220·20.00
Betfair Exchange · -26% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 13
7yo · G · bv
073604
7848.350/1·54.2446·46.00
Smarkets · -15% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
14
J: Leigh Roche · T: E D Delany · draw 9
3yo · G · ch
60131
6945.611/1·11.9710·10.00
Smarkets · -16% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Luke McAteer · T: Jack Foley · draw 15
3yo · F · b
79378
6845.433/1·36.6926·26.00
Matchbook · -29% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 7
3yo · G · b
405093
7944.314/1·15.9514·14.00
Smarkets · -12% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Rory Cleary · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 1
5yo · G · chtb
906210
6642.933/1·36.6936·36.00
Smarkets · -2% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
3yo · G · bv
99033
7542.420/1·20.7414.5·14.50
Matchbook · -30% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 16
4yo · F · bv
37077
7041.318/1·19.1416.5·16.50
Matchbook · -14% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: P Sweeney · draw 8
8yo · G · b
880464
7239.522/1·23.9319·19.00
Smarkets · -21% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
J: · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 4
4yo · F · chp
138520
6538.940/1·41.4832·32.00
Betfair Exchange · -23% vs fair
All 21 books ▾
11
J: Wayne Lordan · T: R P Cody · draw 6
3yo · G · b
694093
7336.622/1·23.9319·19.00
Smarkets · -21% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 12
3yo · F · bh
50706
7035.225/1·27.1229·29.00
Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–28 bookmakers per horse with the 60% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org