18:02 Bellewstown
IrelandGleeson's Bar, Drogheda, Home Of Racing Handicap
1m · Flat · Good To Yielding · 15 runners · €18,000 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyGlyndwr heads a competitive 18-runner field at Bellewstown over eight furlongs on good-to-soft ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Exquisite Acclaim and Morehampton, who are both rated a pound behind and represent the most pressing dangers along with Bundle Of Interest, a further pound back in fourth. The selection's edge over such a closely matched group is slender, but in a race where every pound can matter on a testing surface, that marginal superiority is enough to tip the balance in a wide-open contest. Exquisite Acclaim and Morehampton will need to find improvement to overturn the difference, while Bundle Of Interest cannot be entirely dismissed either. Glyndwr is our selection to take this one.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Goal Exceeded
Adam Caffrey · Adrian McGuinness · 5yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight55averageLast 6: 2-0-3-1-4-4
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76
- Trainer20% weight50averageAdrian McGuinness: 5/25 winners last 14d (20%)
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(8)
- Mid-division(1)
- Hold-up / closers(8)
- Unknown(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Draw bias — Bellewstown 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 58 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by AI score
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–28 bookmakers per horse with the 60% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org