18:32 Bellewstown

Ireland

Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden

5f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 7 runners · €15,000 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Why the model rates this top

Bit Of A Buzz

Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell · 2yo

Top-rated of 8

score 56.7 · +18.3 clear of next best (38.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
39d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
63average
Gavin Cromwell: 7/28 winners last 14d (25%)
Form20% weight
59average
Last 6: 3-4-4-4-3-2
Ratings50% weight
48below average
OR 72 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 4.33 (Ladbrokes) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
2Lion Of Fortune
Prominent(4)
1Bit Of A Buzz 4Best Love 5Magna Fortuna 6Annie Batt
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
7Sadie Rose 8Tango Club
Unknown(1)
Belle Island

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Bellewstown 5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.08

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.77

High (7–8)

IV 1.12

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 30 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Bit Of A BuzzPick J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 7 2yo · C · b	344432	9-05	72	—	—	56.7	4/1·4.94	10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes · -12% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33Smarkets4.3·4.30SmarketsSBK16/5·4.20 BetMGM16/5·4.20Matchbook4.2·4.20Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Spreadex3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Unibet11/4·3.75
—	Belle Island J: Chris Hayes · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 5 2yo · F · btFT T	236068	8-12	66	—	—	38.5	20/1·20.99	16/1·17.00 Bet365 · -19% vs fair All 19 books ▾ Bet36516/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50 William Hill14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00Matchbook4.5·4.50Unibet0.0
4	Best Love J: Jessica O'Gorman(7) · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty · draw 1 2yo · F · b	0U47	8-12	71	—	—	34.6	9/2·5.35	5.7·5.70 Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70Matchbook5.5·5.50Smarkets5.5·5.50SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Midnite7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.35Virgin Bet10/3·4.35Unibet10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00
6	Annie Batt J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 8 2yo · F · br	20	8-08	—	—	—	18.7	3/1·4.01	3.85·3.85 Smarkets · -4% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets3.85·3.85Betfair Exchange3.85·3.85Matchbook3.8·3.80SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 BetMGM12/5·3.40 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25BetWright9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 10 Bet9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Star Sports9/4·3.25 Paddy Power9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 Bet Victor85/40·3.13 Betano85/40·3.13
8	Tango Club J: Leigh Roche · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 3 2yo · F · b	65	8-08	—	—	—	15.3	4/1·4.94	4.3·4.30 Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.3·4.30Smarkets4.3·4.30Matchbook4.3·4.30LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00BetTom3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75BetMGM5/2·3.50
5	Magna Fortuna J: Nathan Crosse · T: P F McEnery · draw 6 2yo · F · bhFT H	00	8-10	—	—	—	8.5	100/1·124.73	200·200.00 Smarkets · +60% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets200·200.00Midnite125/1·126.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00Bet365100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 SmarketsSBK80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Betfair Exchange42·42.00
2	Lion Of Fortune J: Rory Cleary · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 2 2yo · C · bpFT P	0	8-13	—	—	—	7.0	9/1·10.50	9.6·9.60 Matchbook · -8% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook9.6·9.60Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40Smarkets9.2·9.20Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Betfred15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50
7	Sadie Rose J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: F G Hand · draw 4 2yo · F · bt	00	8-08	—	—	—	7.0	100/1·124.73	140·140.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook140·140.00Bet365125/1·126.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00Smarkets80·80.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Betfair Exchange27·27.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 18–28 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org