19:02 Bellewstown

Ireland

Gibney's Of Gormanstown Handicap

5f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 11 runners · €9,000 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: NamiidDiffers from our pick

Namiid heads this eleven-runner sprint at Bellewstown on good-to-soft ground with a clear edge over the field, sitting narrowly ahead of Bad Boy Rizz and a few pounds clear of Smoke Them Out and Cuban Grey, who represent the primary threats in what looks a competitive five-furlong heat. Bad Boy Rizz will likely push hardest given he sits closest on the ratings, while Smoke Them Out and Cuban Grey cannot be dismissed if conditions suit, though Namiid's superior profile makes the strongest case in a race where the margins are there to be respected. The selection is Namiid.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Prairie Girl

Terry Casey(7) · Daniel James Murphy · 4yo

Top-rated of 11

score 63.8 · +10.5 clear of next best (53.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=6)
Daniel James Murphy: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 83 — above field median
Form20% weight
48below average
Last 6: 1-1-0-4

MarketBest price 8.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
3Cuban Grey 11Bye Bye Now
Prominent(3)
1Namiid 4Bad Boy Rizz 7Harry's Hill
Mid-division(2)
6Buddy Batt 9Happy Henry
Hold-up / closers(4)
2Prairie Girl 5Smoke Them Out 8Treasured Royal 10Asdana

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Bellewstown 5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.08

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.77

High (9–11)

IV 1.12

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 30 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	Prairie GirlPick J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 1 4yo · F · bp	1104	10-03	83	—	—	63.8	13/2·7.64	8.4·8.40 Betfair Exchange · +10% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40Matchbook8.4·8.40Smarkets8.4·8.40Coral5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00
1	Namiid J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 3 3yo · G · bp	31423	10-03	85	—	—	53.3	15/2·8.28	7·7.00 Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.8·6.80BetMGM11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 BetWright5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00BresBet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00
7	Harry's Hill J: Paddy Harnett(3) · T: Martin Hassett · draw 7 8yo · G · bt	060621	9-07	73	—	—	51.9	13/2·7.64	8.4·8.40 Betfair Exchange · +10% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40Smarkets8.2·8.20Matchbook8.2·8.20BresBet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Midnite5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50
8	Treasured Royal J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 6 3yo · F · bt	453540	9-03	71	—	—	49.2	25/1·26.74	20/1·21.00 Virgin Bet · -21% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Coral20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets20·20.00BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00
9	Happy Henry J: Leigh Roche · T: W McCreery · draw 8 5yo · G · bp	313159	9-00	66	—	—	46.8	10/1·10.82	11·11.00 Smarkets · +2% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00 Spreadex15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Betano7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50
11	Bye Bye Now J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John C McConnell · draw 10 4yo · F · ch	441427	8-08	60	—	—	46.4	10/1·11.46	12.5·12.50 Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50Matchbook12·12.00Smarkets11.5·11.50William Hill17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00BetWright8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00
4	Bad Boy Rizz J: Shane Foley · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 5 3yo · C · cht	12354	9-11	79	—	—	45.3	13/2·7.64	7·7.00 Smarkets · -8% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets7·7.00Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Matchbook6.6·6.60Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00
3	Cuban Grey J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick J McKenna · draw 11 6yo · G · grp	179435	9-13	79	—	—	41.0	10/1·10.82	11·11.00 Smarkets · +2% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Matchbook10.5·10.50Midnite15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Bet3657/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Bet Victor7/1·8.00
5	Smoke Them Out J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 2 4yo · G · b	602030	9-08	74	—	—	39.9	14/1·15.28	14·14.00 Smarkets · -8% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets14·14.00Matchbook14·14.00Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50 Bet36512/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Spreadex11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00BetMGM11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00
6	Buddy Batt J: Ronan Whelan · T: Tracey Collins · draw 4 5yo · G · ch	31560	9-07	73	—	—	38.6	14/1·15.28	14/1·15.00 Bet365 · -2% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange14·14.00Matchbook14·14.00Smarkets13.5·13.50Betfred12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00
10	Asdana J: Megan Telford-Kelly(7) · T: W McCreery · draw 9 4yo · F · ch	20409	8-09	61	—	—	38.1	20/1·21.65	18·18.00 Matchbook · -17% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50 Coral16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00BetMGM16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00Smarkets17·17.00Bet Victor14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org