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19:38 Bellewstown

Ireland

WTW Willis (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race

2m1f · Flat · Good · 14 runners · €6,601 · Wednesday, 26 August 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Eleen AlanaDiffers from our pick

Eleen Alana heads the field on ratings, narrowly ahead of Myluckymaker and with a more comfortable edge over Bayswater Bloom and Piper Street, and she has the form to suggest she can handle a thorough test over this extended trip at Bellewstown on good ground. The worry is that a large field of fourteen over seventeen furlongs can produce a messy, unpredictable contest, and several unrated runners make the shape of the race difficult to call, while Myluckymaker and Bayswater Bloom are capable of making their presence felt if they take to conditions. The confidence here is tempered by the depth of unknowns in the field, but on what we know, the ratings edge is with our selection. Eleen Alana is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Thranduil

Anna McGuinness(7) · Paul Nolan · 5yo

Top-rated of 14
score 31.5 · +1.0 clear of next best (30.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Paul Nolan: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 24.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 6th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: Anna McGuinness(7) · T: Paul Nolan · draw 0
5yo · G · b
31.528/1·27.6724·24.00
Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Miss J Townend · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
5yo · M · b
30.55/2·3.624.4·4.40
Smarkets · +21% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Miss P Elvin(7) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0
5yo · G · b
6
27.566/1·67.1966/1·67.00
Hollywood Bets
All 28 books ▾
12
5yo · M · b
8622
25.47/2·4.614.4·4.40
Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
4yo · F · b
21.528/1·30.3034·34.00
Betfair Exchange · +12% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Miss L Costello(7) · T: R P Rath · draw 0
5yo · G · b
0
18.5250/1·264.81460·460.00
Betfair Exchange · +74% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
14
4yo · F · baybrown
4
17.510/1·10.5412·12.00
Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
4yo · G · b
15.0150/1·133.06290·290.00
Smarkets · +118% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Caragh Monaghan(7) · T: E D Delany · draw 0
5yo · M · b
15.0150/1·133.06180·180.00
Smarkets · +35% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
5yo · G · bhFT H
PP
14.566/1·67.1975·75.00
Betfair Exchange · +12% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Ms N M Bradley(7) · T: Eoin Griffin · draw 0
5yo · M · g
30
14.0100/1·106.71100/1·101.00
William Hill · -5% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
5yo · M · bt
0568
13.214/1·15.8115·15.00
Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Miss Ella Herbison(7) · T: N Dooly · draw 0
5yo · G · b
080
10.7200/1·198.94600·600.00
Betfair Exchange · +202% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Miss A B O'Connor · T: S G Carey · draw 0
5yo · G · b
67
7.87/2·4.613.7·3.70
Smarkets · -20% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28–29 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org