18:00 Redcar

Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div I)

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Mudita

No. 7 · score 49.8 · +0.9 clear of next best · best 8/1·9.00

Best value vs consensus

Fille Imbassee

5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK · +5% vs fair (consensus 5.71)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way49.8/100 rating

Mudita

9.00BetTom

Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: PoppeyeDiffers from our pick

Poppeye shares the top rating in this nine-runner Class 5 contest over ten furlongs at Redcar on good ground, but the progressive profile tips the balance in his favour over the equally-rated Eve's Boy, who remains the chief danger alongside Mighty Quiet and Mudita, the latter pair rated just three and four pounds adrift respectively. The selection looks to be on an upward curve and there is every reason to think that trajectory continues here on ground that should pose no problems. Poppeye is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mudita

Billy Garritty · Richard & Peter Fahey · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 49.8 · +0.9 clear of next best (48.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
45below average
Richard & Peter Fahey: 7/40 winners last 14d (18%)
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 67 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
42below average
Last 6: 3-1-5-3-3-0

MarketBest price 9.00 (BetTom) · 4th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Mighty Quiet 8Fille Imbassee
Prominent(3)
4Bay Dream Believer 6Sogniamo 7Mudita
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(4)
2Eve's Boy 3Poppeye 5Kartini 9Woodleigh

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.12

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.96

High (7–9)

IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
7	MuditaPick J: Billy Garritty · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 · combo 1/13 (8%) 3yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing	315330	9-07	67	—	—	49.8	10/1·11.41	8/1·9.00 BetTom · -21% vs fair All 27 books ▾ BetTom8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00William Hill8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Matchbook8·8.00Smarkets7.6·7.60SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20
1	Mighty Quiet J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 6 · combo 9/41 (22%) 5yo · M · bt	82643	9-13	66	—	—	48.9	9/2·5.49	10/3·4.33 Unibet · -21% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Unibet10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33Matchbook4.1·4.10LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Smarkets3.95·3.95Betfair Exchange3.75·3.75 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
8	Fille Imbassee J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 8 · combo 3/26 (12%) 3yo · F · bhD	340412	9-06	66	—	—	45.4	9/2·5.71	5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK · +5% vs fair All 27 books ▾ SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00Smarkets5.9·5.90Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50Matchbook5.5·5.50Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Unibet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.507Bet7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33
6	Sogniamo J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 · combo 2/34 (6%) 3yo · F · b	81756	9-07	67	—	—	43.2	14/1·15.22	14/1·15.00 Bet365 All 27 books ▾ Bet36514/1·15.00Matchbook13.5·13.50Star Sports12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00Smarkets13·13.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
3	Poppeye J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 4 · combo 6/56 (11%) 4yo · G · b	4742	9-11	64	—	—	42.8	4/1·5.07	5.1·5.10 Smarkets All 27 books ▾ Smarkets5.1·5.10SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.9·4.90Matchbook4.7·4.70Unibet3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.007Bet3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75
2	Eve's Boy J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 · combo 9/88 (10%) 4yo · G · b	772668	9-12	65	—	—	41.1	17/2·9.51	9.4·9.40 Matchbook All 27 books ▾ Matchbook9.4·9.40Smarkets9.4·9.40SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80 Bet36515/2·8.50 Unibet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50
4	Bay Dream Believer J: Jason Hart · T: Mark Walford · draw 1 · combo 2/8 (25%) 7yo · M · bhDGoing 1/4Only pairing	517615	9-10	63	—	—	37.9	10/1·11.41	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -8% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Smarkets9.8·9.80Bet36517/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00BetTom8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 7Bet15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40
5	Kartini J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 7 · combo 0/5 (0%) 4yo · F · grOnly pairing	49260	9-10	63	—	—	36.0	80/1·84.96	70/1·71.00 7Bet · -16% vs fair All 27 books ▾ 7Bet70/1·71.00 Unibet66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 BetWright60/1·61.00 BresBet60/1·61.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00Matchbook40·40.00Smarkets29·29.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00
9	Woodleigh J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 2 · combo 1/25 (4%) 5yo · G · bC&D	115545	9-04	57	—	—	34.7	10/1·11.41	11.5·11.50 Matchbook All 27 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Star Sports8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.007Bet8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div I)?

The Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div I) is off at 18:00 on 22 August 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:00 Redcar?

1m2f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:00 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:00 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Mudita (score 49.8, best price 9.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:00 Redcar?

The market favourite is Mighty Quiet at a best price of 4.33. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Mudita.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org