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13:44 Navan

Ireland

Navan Racecourse Nursery Handicap

6f · Flat · Good · 8 runners · €9,000 · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Supreme Lord (IRE)
    W J Lee·Robson De Aguiar
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Howlin Wolf (IRE)AI top pick · 55.4
    James Ryan·Jack W Davison·beaten 3.75 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lucy's Promise (IRE)
    Luke McAteer·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 3.25 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.46s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Supreme Lord (IRE))

“Shared front spot early - hit the front at halfway - driven with two furlongs left - kept up the effort in the closing stages to win with ease”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way55.4/100 rating
Howlin Wolf
6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Supreme Lord

Supreme Lord holds a narrow edge over the field on ratings, sitting just a pound ahead of Someday Somewhere and two clear of Howlin Wolf, so the margin for error is slim and any one of that trio could realistically take this six-furlong contest at Navan on good-to-firm ground. Someday Somewhere and Howlin Wolf in particular look the chief threats and will need watching throughout, while Prince Of Peppard also enters calculations as the fourth-highest-rated runner in the field. The selection may need to produce a performance close to its best to hold off these rivals, but on the figures available Supreme Lord is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Howlin Wolf

James Ryan · Jack W Davison · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 55.4 · +7.6 clear of next best (47.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    11d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Jack W Davison: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 7-7-4-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
MarketBest price 6.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.11
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.77
High (7–8)
IV 1.10

Today: Lucy's Promise (draw 3) and Prince Of Peppard (draw 2) get the bias; Supreme Lord (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 101 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Supreme Lord
J: W J Lee · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 5
2yo · C · b
355
7947.8
11/8F·2.38
SP
22
Howlin Wolf
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 8
2yo · G · b
7741
7355.4
9/2·5.50
SP
36
Lucy's Promise
J: Luke McAteer · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 3
2yo · F · b
07680
6638.2
16/1·17.00
SP
44
Prince Of Peppard
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 2
2yo · C · bp
967
6935.0
7/2·4.50
SP
53
Someday Somewhere
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 6
2yo · F · b
344
7347.8
13/2·7.50
SP
65
Two Brigade
J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 4
2yo · C · brp
8568
6841.1
8/1·9.00
SP
68
Little Diva
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: T G McCourt · draw 1
2yo · F · bh
590
5928.1
20/1·21.00
SP
87
No Time Faults
J: Rory Cleary · T: Kevin Thomas Coleman · draw 7
2yo · F · bbFT B
6000
6038.9
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:44 Navan on 27 August 2026?

Supreme Lord (IRE) won the 13:44 Navan at SP 2.38. Ridden by W J Lee. Trained by Robson De Aguiar.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:44 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Howlin Wolf) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 13:44 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Supreme Lord (IRE) (2.38), 2. Howlin Wolf (IRE) (5.50), 3. Lucy's Promise (IRE) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:44 Navan?

The winning time was 1m 12.46s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org