Who won the 14:00 Carlisle on 27 August 2026?
Jewel Maker (IRE) won the 14:00 Carlisle at SP 7.50. Ridden by Miss Rebecca Burley. Trained by Tim Easterby.
14:00 Carlisle
Paul Kavanagh Memorial AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Jockeys With Three Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)
1m1f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners · £3,229 · Thursday, 27 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stJewel Maker (IRE)Miss Rebecca Burley·Tim Easterby13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndUp The Jazz (IRE)Miss Isla Clarkson·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 4 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdSanafi Zabeel (FR)AI top pick · 51.4Miss Kayleigh Williams·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.2 lengths15/8F·2.88SP
Race time
1m 58.75s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Jewel Maker (IRE))
“Settled at back of field early - made ground into contention from 4f out - moved up to hit front 2f out - stretched advantage approaching final furlong - kept on strongly to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way49.3/100 rating
Spirit Catcher
7.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Pedro The Poet
Pedro The Poet heads this nine-runner Class 5 contest at Carlisle on good ground narrowly ahead of Titian on ratings, and he tops the list on our figures. Titian represents the most immediate threat just a pound behind, with Epidavros and Up The Jazz also capable of making their presence felt if either runs to their best. Pedro The Poet, though, looks to have enough in hand to see off these challengers, and he is the one to be on.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Sanafi Zabeel
Miss Kayleigh Williams · Jim Goldie · 5yo
Top-rated of 9
score 51.4 · +0.1 clear of next best (51.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 9-3-3-4-5-1
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
- Trainer20% weight35below averageJim Goldie: 4/28 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 1m1f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.31).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.31
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.89
High (7–9)
IV 0.75
Today: Eagles Dream (draw 3) and Titian (draw 1) get the bias; Pedro The Poet (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Miss Rebecca Burley · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 11yo · G · b | 487764 | 52 | 32.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Miss Isla Clarkson(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 5yo · G · b | 361275 | 68 | 44.9 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Miss Kayleigh Williams · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 5yo · G · ch | 933451 | 68 | 51.4 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Mr Jack Loughnane(3) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1 8yo · G · bp | 06604 | 69 | 36.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Mrs Tracy Gundry(3) · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 3 4yo · F · bFirst after wind op | 05880 | 58 | 46.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Mr Harvey James(3) · T: Nicky Richards · draw 8 5yo · G · b | 40508 | 67 | 51.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Miss Kayla Ruddy(3) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 9 5yo · M · b | 955204 | 49 | 33.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Mr Freddie Robson · T: Katie Scott · draw 7 5yo · M · bp | 444354 | 66 | 49.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Mr Daniel Perrin(3) · T: Philip Kirby · draw 5 7yo · G · ch | 228575 | 62 | 49.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Sanafi Zabeel) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 14:00 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Jewel Maker (IRE) (7.50), 2. Up The Jazz (IRE) (4.00), 3. Sanafi Zabeel (FR) (2.88).
What was the winning time for the 14:00 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 58.75s.
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