Who won the 14:30 Carlisle on 27 August 2026?
Blazing Inferno (IRE) won the 14:30 Carlisle at SP 6.50. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by Edward Bethell.
14:30 Carlisle
Celebrating National Racehorse Week 2026 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners · £7,020 · Thursday, 27 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stBlazing Inferno (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndMehmas Star (IRE)Sam James·K. R. Burke·beaten 0.3 lengths13/2·7.50SP
- 3rdProsperity Angel (GB)AI top pick · 59.5Andrew Mullen·Ben Haslam·beaten 1.5 lengths100/30·4.33SP
Race time
1m 12.39s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Blazing Inferno (IRE))
“Settled midpack early - moved across and quickened smartly inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to hit the front close home”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way26.5/100 rating
Blazing Inferno
8.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Prosperity Angel
Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 59.5 · +11.8 clear of next best (47.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight87very strongLast 6: 3-1
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 71 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight43small sample (n=6)Ben Haslam: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 6th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.10
High (9–11)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 26.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 23.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 31 | 71 | 59.5 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 6 2yo · G · grtFT T | 3473 | 66 | 47.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 11 2yo · C · br | — | — | 17.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: David Nolan · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 7 | — | 15.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 7 2yo · F · b | — | — | 31.5 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Simon Waugh · draw 4 2yo · G · b | — | — | 15.0 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 2yo · F · ch | 8 | — | 16.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 23.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Ben Haslam · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 8 | — | 20.5 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Prosperity Angel) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Blazing Inferno (IRE) (6.50), 2. Mehmas Star (IRE) (7.50), 3. Prosperity Angel (GB) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 12.39s.
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