Who won the 15:30 Carlisle on 27 August 2026?
Rikki Tiki Tavi (IRE) won the 15:30 Carlisle at SP 13.00. Ridden by Kevin Stott. Trained by Kevin Ryan.
15:30 Carlisle
Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £5,496 · Thursday, 27 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stRikki Tiki Tavi (IRE)Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan12/1·13.00SP
- 2ndRogue Attraction (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell·beaten 0.3 lengths11/4·3.75SP
- 3rdGo Vince Go (IRE)Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 11.38s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Rikki Tiki Tavi (IRE))
“Went straight to front and dictated matters - travelled eagerly on a fast gallop - urged forward with the finish approaching - driven out under pressure as rivals loomed inside the last - held on gamely to prevail”
AI top-rated Town Queen (score 57.4) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way49.2/100 rating
Tip Foster
14.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Go Vince Go
Go Vince Go heads this ten-runner Class 4 sprint at Carlisle on good ground with a clear edge over his rivals, sitting narrowly ahead of Invincible Boy and six pounds clear of the next group, which gives him a solid platform to dictate terms over six furlongs. The main dangers come from Invincible Boy, who is the most likely to give him a race at the weights, while Trust Amy and Zarvali, level on ratings, cannot be dismissed if either travels smoothly into contention in the straight. There is a case that Go Vince Go needs to reproduce something close to his best here, but on the figures he holds a meaningful edge and looks the right call. Go Vince Go is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Town Queen
Sam James · K. R. Burke · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 57.4 · +2.0 clear of next best (55.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight87very strongLast 6: 2-2-2-1
- Freshness10% weight65strong70d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75
- Trainer20% weight43below averageK. R. Burke: 7/41 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 3.75 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.10
High (8–10)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 10000 | 78 | 35.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 9 3yo · F · bp | 00617 | 82 | 54.5 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 380439 | 77 | 40.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Roger Fell · draw 6 3yo · G · bpFT P | 163707 | 76 | 40.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 23187 | 78 | 48.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: P J McDonald · T: Craig Lidster · draw 7 3yo · G · bp | 10456 | 73 | 55.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 2221 | 75 | 57.4 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| — | — | J: David Nolan · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 41045 | 78 | 42.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Connor Beasley · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 31 | 76 | 49.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 58839 | 69 | 40.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Town Queen) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 15:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Rikki Tiki Tavi (IRE) (13.00), 2. Rogue Attraction (IRE) (3.75), 3. Go Vince Go (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 11.38s.
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