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RacingAlpha

Follow @attheraces On Instagram Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 9 runners · £6,281 · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Market Leader (IRE)
    James Doyle·K. R. Burke
    15/8·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Secano (GB)
    Clifford Lee·Harry Charlton·beaten 6 lengths
    50/1·51.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Night Of Gold (GB)
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey·beaten .75 lengths
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
Race time
1m 26.55s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Market Leader (IRE))

Set the pace from the start - stretched advantage inside final two furlongs - kept finding more to the line - won going away then allowed to coast close home

AI top-rated El Morjan (score 28.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

El Morjan

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 28.5 · +2.0 clear of next best (26.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    68strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 6/22 winners last 14d (27%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 67.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.04
High (8–10)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6
2yo · C · b
35
26.5
15/8·2.88
SP
210
J: Clifford Lee · T: Harry Charlton · draw 3
2yo · C · br
76
24.7
50/1·51.00
SP
39
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 8
2yo · C · b
24.5
5/6F·1.83
SP
43
2yo · C · b
28.5
100/30·4.33
SP
52
2yo · C · b
3
22.0
16/1·17.00
SP
65
J: Tom Eaves · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 2
2yo · C · b
15.0
125/1·126.00
SP
71
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1
2yo · C · b
15.0
50/1·51.00
SP
88
J: William Pyle · T: David Loughnane · draw 5
2yo · G · b
20.0
200/1·201.00
SP
94
J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: James Owen · draw 10
2yo · G · b
0
13.5
125/1·126.00
SP
J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 9
2yo · G · br
798
8.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:30 Southwell (AW) on 27 August 2026?

Market Leader (IRE) won the 19:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.88. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (El Morjan) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Market Leader (IRE) (2.88), 2. Secano (GB) (51.00), 3. Night Of Gold (GB) (1.83).

What was the winning time for the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 26.55s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org