15:07 Ffos Las

Shirgar Welsh Butter Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 6 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 8/11F·1.73

1st
Tumishi (GB)AI top pick · 57.2
Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe
8/11F·1.73
SP
2nd
Channel Islands (IRE)
Darragh Keenan·David Evans·beaten 0.2 lengths
40/1·41.00
SP
3rd
War Gaming (IRE)
Rossa Ryan·George Scott·beaten 0.3 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP

Race time

1m 8.98s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tumishi (GB))

“Sat handy behind the front group - asked for effort and found little room around a furlong out - found a gap on the inside rail approaching the final furlong - finished full of running to get up right on the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.73 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Tumishi

Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe · 2yo

Top-rated of 6

score 57.2 · +4.6 clear of next best (52.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
33d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
60average
James Fanshawe: 5/21 winners last 14d (24%)
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 4-3
Ratings50% weight
51average
OR 77

MarketBest price 2.00 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.27).

Low (1–2)

IV 0.81

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.27

High (5–6)

IV 0.97

Today: Tumishi (draw 4) and Corbie Rock (draw 3) get the bias; War Gaming (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 40 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	4	Tumishi J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 4 2yo · C · gr	43	9-07	77	—	—	57.2	8/11F·1.73 SP
2	1	Channel Islands J: Darragh Keenan · T: David Evans · draw 6 2yo · G · b	5	9-07	—	—	—	21.0	40/1·41.00 SP
3	5	War Gaming J: Rossa Ryan · T: George Scott · draw 1 2yo · G · bp	233	9-07	78	—	—	52.6	4/1·5.00 SP
4	6	Duchess Of Immatin J: Kieran Shoemark · T: George Boughey · draw 5 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	24.5	11/2·6.50 SP
5	2	Corbie Rock J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 3 2yo · C · gr	—	9-07	—	—	—	23.5	15/2·8.50 SP
6	3	Native Chief J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 2 2yo · C · br	8	9-07	—	—	—	21.0	22/1·23.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:07 Ffos Las on 27 August 2026?

Tumishi (GB) won the 15:07 Ffos Las at SP 1.73. Ridden by Daniel Muscutt. Trained by James Fanshawe.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:07 Ffos Las?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Tumishi, won the race (AI score 57.2).

What were the placings in the 15:07 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Tumishi (GB) (1.73), 2. Channel Islands (IRE) (41.00), 3. War Gaming (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:07 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 1m 8.98s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org