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RacingAlpha

16:37 Ffos Las

Bni Elli Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 5 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Winday (FR)
    Rossa Ryan·Emmet Mullins
    11/8·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Blue Hercules (IRE)AI top pick · 47.3
    Lewis Edmunds·William Muir & Chris Grassick·beaten 6 lengths
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Neswick (GB)
    Daniel Muscutt·Marcus Tregoning·beaten 3.5 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
2m 30.98s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Winday (FR))

“Settled second early - pushed along with 2f left before hitting front approaching the final furlong - pulled away to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Blue Hercules

Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 47.3 · +0.8 clear of next best (46.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86
  • Form20% weight
    43below average
    Last 6: 8-4-2-0-2-5
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=8)
    William Muir & Chris Grassick: 0/8 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 11.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.95
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.01
High (5–6)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Winday
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Emmet Mullins · draw 3
3yo · G · btFT T
730
8746.5
11/8·2.38
SP
21
Blue Hercules
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 1
3yo · C · b
842025
8647.3
6/5F·2.20
SP
35
Neswick
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 6
3yo · F · b
34
—20.0
10/1·11.00
SP
43
Phantom Recon
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 5
3yo · G · b
44
—19.5
10/1·11.00
SP
52
Pacific Storm
J: David Egan · T: David Menuisier · draw 4
3yo · G · b
57
—10.5
40/1·41.00
SP
——
Saaffya
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 2
3yo · F · b
——18.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:37 Ffos Las on 27 August 2026?

Winday (FR) won the 16:37 Ffos Las at SP 2.38. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Emmet Mullins.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:37 Ffos Las?

No — the AI top pick (Blue Hercules) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:37 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Winday (FR) (2.38), 2. Blue Hercules (IRE) (2.20), 3. Neswick (GB) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:37 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 2m 30.98s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org