14:48 Thirsk

Work Matters Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 28 August 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Why the model rates this top

Wootz

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 47.5 · +7.0 clear of next best (40.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
88very strong
Roger Varian: 6/17 winners last 14d (35%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 1.13 (Midnite) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(2)
3Rua Mor 4Who's The Goat
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Wootz 6Eagles Instinct 7Jetpack Jimmy
Unknown(4)
2Morty Robinson 5Eagleonthebalcony 8League Of Justice 9Walk In Provence

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Thirsk 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.82

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.04

High (7–9)

IV 1.16

Today: League Of Justice (draw 7) and Morty Robinson (draw 9) get the bias; Wootz (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	WootzPick J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 2 3yo · C · br	1	9-11	—	—	—	47.5	2/5·1.42	1/8·1.13 Midnite · -20% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Midnite1/8·1.13 10 Bet1/10·1.10 BetWright1/10·1.10 Betfred1/10·1.10 BetTom1/10·1.10 Bet Victor1/10·1.10 Boyle Sports1/10·1.10 Betano1/10·1.10 Unibet1/10·1.10 Star Sports1/10·1.10 Dragon Bet1/10·1.10 BresBet1/10·1.10Smarkets1.09·1.09Matchbook1.09·1.09Betfair Exchange1.09·1.09 Ladbrokes1/12·1.08 7Bet1/13·1.08 Quinn Bet1/12·1.08Virgin Bet1/12·1.08Hollywood Bets1/12·1.08Coral1/12·1.08 SmarketsSBK1/12·1.08 LiveScore Bet1/12·1.08 Paddy Power1/14·1.07Betfair Sportsbook1/14·1.07BetMGM1/14·1.07 Spreadex1/18·1.06 SportingIndex1/18·1.06 William Hill1/20·1.05 Bet3651/20·1.05
4	Who's The Goat J: Aiden Brookes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 5 6yo · G · b	3	9-10	—	—	—	40.5	18/1·19.59	160·160.00 Betfair Exchange · +717% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange160·160.00Matchbook160·160.00Smarkets140·140.00SmarketsSBK66/1·67.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Betano14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00
6	Eagles Instinct J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 3yo · C · b	5	9-04	—	—	—	22.5	50/1·53.56	340·340.00 Matchbook · +535% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook340·340.00Smarkets300·300.00SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 Betfair Exchange210·210.00 7Bet70/1·71.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00BetTom40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00
5	Eagleonthebalcony J: Joanna Mason · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 3yo · G · b	—	9-04	—	—	—	21.5	25/1·27.43	110·110.00 Matchbook · +301% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook110·110.00Smarkets100·100.00SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Betfair Exchange85·85.00 Bet36528/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Midnite20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00
9	Walk In Provence J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 3yo · F · b	—	8-13	—	—	—	21.5	8/1·9.14	16·16.00 Matchbook · +75% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook16·16.00Betfair Exchange16·16.00Smarkets15.5·15.50SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Betano13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Star Sports11/2·6.50 Coral5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 7Bet9/2·5.50
8	League Of Justice J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 7 3yo · G · b	64	9-04	—	—	—	17.3	28/1·30.04	130·130.00 Matchbook · +333% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook130·130.00Smarkets120·120.00Betfair Exchange120·120.00 SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Midnite25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00
2	Morty Robinson J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Brian Ellison · draw 9 6yo · G · ch	05	9-10	—	—	—	16.5	150/1·148.26	1000·1000.00 Betfair Exchange · +575% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1000·1000.00Matchbook1000·1000.00Smarkets1000·1000.00SmarketsSBK400/1·401.00 Bet365150/1·151.00 SportingIndex150/1·151.00 Spreadex150/1·151.00 7Bet150/1·151.00 Paddy Power150/1·151.00 BetMGM125/1·126.00Betfair Sportsbook125/1·126.00William Hill125/1·126.00 Bet Victor125/1·126.00 Midnite125/1·126.00 Betano125/1·126.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00Betfred100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.00Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00
3	Rua Mor J: Cam Hardie · T: Sam England · draw 1 4yo · G · ch	055	9-10	—	—	—	11.5	33/1·33.96	320·320.00 Matchbook · +842% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook320·320.00Smarkets270·270.00SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 Betfair Exchange200·200.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Betfred25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00
7	Jetpack Jimmy J: Andrew Elliott · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 8 3yo · G · b	09	9-04	—	—	—	7.8	100/1·105.81	1000·1000.00 Smarkets · +845% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets1000·1000.00Betfair Exchange1000·1000.00Matchbook990·990.00SmarketsSBK400/1·401.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Bet365100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 10 Bet80/1·81.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 Paddy Power80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 William Hill80/1·81.00Hollywood Bets80/1·81.007Bet80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00Betfair Sportsbook80/1·81.00BetTom66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 BresBet66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org