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RacingAlpha

16:00 Thirsk

Ivegate Building Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 18 runners · £9,720 · Friday, 28 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Deep Havana (GB)
    Faleh Bughanaim·Hamad Al Jehani
    28/1·29.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Yes I'm Mali (GB)
    Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten 0.2 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Woodstock (GB)
    Oisin Orr·Ruth Carr·beaten 1.75 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 10.36s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Deep Havana (GB))

Set the pace from the off near the stands rail - drifted left approaching halfway - came under pressure from a rival inside the final furlong - kept battling to the line - prevailed by the narrowest of margins

AI top-rated Anyasi (score 74.7) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way51.9/100 rating
Woodstock
13.50Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Veblen Good

Veblen Good heads the field on these ratings, narrowly ahead of Woven and Eye Of Dubai, who share the same figure a pound below, with Topwarrior also lurking just two pounds off the pace in what is a fiercely competitive nineteen-runner sprint at Thirsk. The selection's edge is slim and the confidence is modest, which reflects how tightly matched the leading quartet appear on form. Woven and Eye Of Dubai in particular must be respected as genuine dangers capable of overturning that marginal advantage on the day. On balance, Veblen Good gets the nod as our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Anyasi

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 19
score 74.7 · +15.8 clear of next best (58.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    93very strong
    Last 6: 3-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    88very strong
    Roger Varian: 6/17 winners last 14d (35%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    55d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    60average
    OR 90 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 80.00 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 19.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–7)
IV 0.73
Mid (8–14)
IV 1.08
High (15–20)
IV 1.22

Today: Anyasi (draw 20) and Novello Lad (draw 16) get the bias; Jordan Electrics (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Faleh Bughanaim · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 14
5yo · G · gr
62222
9058.8
28/1·29.00
SP
214
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 8
4yo · G · b
502275
8246.3
6/1·7.00
SP
317
J: Oisin Orr · T: Ruth Carr · draw 15
6yo · G · bv
462241
8151.9
10/1·11.00
SP
412
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 9
3yo · G · bt
21872
8655.8
14/1·15.00
SP
57
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 20
3yo · C · ch
311
9074.7
3/1F·4.00
SP
620
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Ruth Carr · draw 5
8yo · G · chv
407220
7643.9
25/1·26.00
SP
78
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2
5yo · G · bp
380020
8745.0
22/1·23.00
SP
810
J: P J McDonald · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 17
3yo · C · b
13150
8751.5
11/1·12.00
SP
93
5yo · G · cht
7156
9055.2
14/1·15.00
SP
109
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1
10yo · G · bp
548313
8654.1
10/1·11.00
SP
114
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 4
4yo · G · b
145213
9050.8
10/1·11.00
SP
1213
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
7yo · G · bt
326100
8344.1
20/1·21.00
SP
1316
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 19
5yo · G · b
70080
8243.6
28/1·29.00
SP
145
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 13
4yo · G · b
103344
8950.3
9/2·5.50
SP
151
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 11
4yo · G · btb
20100
9046.5
28/1·29.00
SP
1615
J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 6
4yo · G · b
6856
8238.0
50/1·51.00
SP
176
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 16
5yo · G · b
31180
8853.3
33/1·34.00
SP
1818
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 18
3yo · G · b
24127
8353.1
50/1·51.00
SP
6yo · G · b
953382
7647.4
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 7
10yo · G · chp
04729
8450.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Thirsk on 28 August 2026?

Deep Havana (GB) won the 16:00 Thirsk at SP 29.00. Ridden by Faleh Bughanaim. Trained by Hamad Al Jehani.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Anyasi) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 16:00 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Deep Havana (GB) (29.00), 2. Yes I'm Mali (GB) (7.00), 3. Woodstock (GB) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 10.36s.

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