16:38 Thirsk

Frameclad Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 14 runners · £15,702 · Friday, 28 August 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Northern ExpressDiffers from our pick

Northern Express heads into this seven-furlong Thirsk Class 2 narrowly ahead of Palmar Bay on ratings, the pair sharing the top of the assessments, with Invictus Gold a further four pounds back and He's A Monster presenting a credible threat from a mark of 98. The ground is unlikely to inconvenience Northern Express, and in a field of fourteen there is enough daylight between him and the chasing pack to offer a degree of encouragement, though Palmar Bay could easily reverse the narrow gap between them on the day. Confidence is modest given the small rating edge and the quality of the dangers immediately behind, but the case for Northern Express is as strong as it is for any runner in this competitive heat. Northern Express is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Bobby Bennu

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 5yo

Top-rated of 14

score 63.7 · +1.8 clear of next best (61.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
88very strong
Roger Varian: 6/17 winners last 14d (35%)
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
30d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
63average
OR 94 — above field median
Form20% weight
32weak
Last 6: 5-0-4-2-0

MarketBest price 8.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(4)
8Sergeant Wilko 10Alpha Capture 11Brighton Boy 12Perfect Part
Prominent(4)
1Palmar Bay 2Invictus Gold 6Mirsky 14Frankies Dream
Mid-division(1)
5Bobby Bennu
Hold-up / closers(2)
7Superposition 9Our Havana
Unknown(3)
3Northern Express 4He's A Monster 13Majestic Dane

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Thirsk 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–5)

IV 0.82

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.04

High (11–14)

IV 1.16

Today: Northern Express (draw 14) and Alpha Capture (draw 12) get the bias; Bobby Bennu (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	Bobby BennuPick J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 1 5yo · G · grh	50420	9-09	94	—	—	63.7	8/1·9.13	8.6·8.60 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60Smarkets8.4·8.40Matchbook8.2·8.20SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Bet3656/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Paddy Power11/2·6.50
3	Northern Express J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 14 8yo · G · chp	635513	9-12	97	—	—	61.9	8/1·9.13	8.6·8.60 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60Smarkets8.6·8.60SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Matchbook8·8.00Midnite6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Bet36511/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00
13	Majestic Dane J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3 3yo · G · b	12	8-10	86	—	—	60.7	18/1·19.57	26·26.00 Betfair Exchange · +33% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange26·26.00Smarkets25·25.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00
10	Alpha Capture J: Tom Eaves · T: Roger Fell · draw 12 6yo · G · bv	212022	8-13	84	—	—	55.0	16/1·16.96	24·24.00 Smarkets · +42% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets24·24.00Betfair Exchange24·24.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Midnite14/1·15.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00
1	Palmar Bay J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 9 5yo · G · b	44083	10-00	99	—	—	54.3	22/1·22.18	20·20.00 Smarkets · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets20·20.00Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Midnite16/1·17.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00Matchbook15·15.00
2	Invictus Gold J: Cieren Fallon · T: Tom Clover · draw 2 4yo · G · b	39280	9-13	98	—	—	53.3	14/1·14.35	20·20.00 Matchbook · +39% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook20·20.00Smarkets16·16.00Betfair Exchange16·16.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.007Bet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Unibet17/2·9.50
4	He's A Monster J: Faleh Bughanaim · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 10 6yo · G · br	3061	9-12	97	—	—	52.7	40/1·44.35	70·70.00 Smarkets · +58% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets70·70.00Betfair Exchange70·70.00 SmarketsSBK66/1·67.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00
7	Superposition J: P J McDonald · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 6 5yo · G · ch	091349	9-06	91	—	—	52.1	16/1·16.96	14.5·14.50 Smarkets · -14% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets14.5·14.50Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50 Coral12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00
14	Frankies Dream J: Luke Morris · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 8 4yo · G · bh	323788	8-09	77	—	—	51.1	14/1·15.65	14/1·15.00 Star Sports · -4% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Star Sports14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50Smarkets14·14.00Coral12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfred11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00
9	Our Havana J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 7 5yo · G · bvFT V	99100	9-00	85	—	—	48.1	40/1·37.83	40·40.00 Smarkets · +6% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets40·40.00Betfair Exchange36·36.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 BresBet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Midnite28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Star Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00
8	Sergeant Wilko J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 11 5yo · G · bp	46828	9-01	86	—	—	44.5	11/1·11.74	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Bet36517/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Star Sports17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 William Hill8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00SportingIndex8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50
11	Brighton Boy J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 4yo · G · gr	260603	8-12	83	—	—	43.0	9/1·10.44	8.8·8.80 Betfair Exchange · -16% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80Smarkets8.6·8.60Betfred15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Midnite7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50
6	Mirsky J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 7yo · G · ch	007999	9-07	92	—	—	43.0	6/1·7.17	6.8·6.80 Smarkets · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Matchbook6.4·6.40Coral5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Bet Victor5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Betfred4/1·5.00
12	Perfect Part J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Brian Ellison · draw 13 4yo · F · chp	642075	8-12	83	—	—	42.9	14/1·15.65	13·13.00 Smarkets · -17% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets13·13.00Betfair Exchange13·13.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.0010 Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29–30 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org