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14:00 Goodwood

Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £51,540 · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Forty Years On (IRE)
    Hector Crouch·George Scott
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Fondo Blanco (GB)
    Jack Mitchell·Roger Varian·beaten 2 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Pellitory (GB)
    Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten 1 length
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 30.65s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Forty Years On (IRE))

Settled midfield early - moving up strongly over 2f out - pressed leader with a furlong left - hit front inside final furlong - sprinted away for a comfortable win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way59.4/100 rating
Ghost Mode
5.90Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Completely Random

Completely Random heads this competitive seven-furlong Goodwood Class 2 on a rating a clear seven points ahead of Fondo Blanco, with the form to suggest he is capable of translating that edge into a result on good-to-firm ground. The chief dangers come from Fondo Blanco and Galeron, who are both next best on our ratings and will press him hard through the closing stages, while Addison Grey also merits respect in what is an open and lively contest. Completely Random's profile gives him the edge on balance, and he is taken to come out on top.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Addison Grey

Clifford Lee · Clive Cox · 4yo

Top-rated of 15
score 64.2 · +1.0 clear of next best (63.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    65average
    OR 97
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 2-2-5-3-9-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Clive Cox: 5/24 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Dragon Bet) · 12th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.15
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.07
High (11–15)
IV 0.77

Today: Completely Random (draw 4) and Forty Years On (draw 2) get the bias; Addison Grey (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Hector Crouch · T: George Scott · draw 2
4yo · F · b
11121
9661.3
6/4F·2.50
SP
22
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 8
4yo · G · br
21400
10162.7
14/1·15.00
SP
33
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 10
4yo · G · b
00201
9856.5
11/1·12.00
SP
415
J: J F Egan · T: Stuart Williams · draw 11
3yo · C · gr
553120
8752.6
14/1·15.00
SP
58
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6
3yo · C · ch
179061
9759.4
5/2·3.50
SP
611
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 15
8yo · G · bv
760006
8743.2
22/1·23.00
SP
714
J: Gina Mangan · T: Richard Hughes · draw 13
4yo · G · bp
39177
8350.9
66/1·67.00
SP
812
J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 9
8yo · G · bt
500500
8440.4
15/2·8.50
SP
96
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 14
4yo · G · bt
155093
9354.6
33/1·34.00
SP
1013
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Michael Appleby · draw 1
6yo · G · b
061579
8347.1
12/1·13.00
SP
PU7
J: David Probert · T: Charles Hills · draw 5
6yo · G · b
34206
9349.0
20/1·21.00
SP
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Harry Charlton · draw 4
5yo · G · bp
100204
10463.2
4yo · F · ch
44110
8854.0
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Ian Williams · draw 3
6yo · G · bt
90213
9056.5
J: Clifford Lee · T: Clive Cox · draw 12
4yo · G · gr
225391
9764.2

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Goodwood on 29 August 2026?

Forty Years On (IRE) won the 14:00 Goodwood at SP 2.50. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by George Scott.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Addison Grey) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 14:00 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Forty Years On (IRE) (2.50), 2. Fondo Blanco (GB) (15.00), 3. Pellitory (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Goodwood?

The winning time was 1m 30.65s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org