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RacingAlpha

18:30 Windsor

Weatherbys August Stakes (Listed Race)

1m3½f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 8 runners · £34,026 · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Tenability (GB)
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Silawi (IRE)
    James Doyle·Hamad Al Jehani·beaten .5 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    White Birch (GB)
    Saffie Osborne·Jamie Osborne·beaten 0.3 lengths
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
Race time
2m 29.53s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tenability (GB))

Sent clear early and held advantage for three furlongs before being headed - driven back in front with a furlong remaining - kept battling to the line to score

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way70.1/100 rating
Warrant Holder
4.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: White Birch

White Birch heads this nine-runner Class 1 contest at Windsor on good-to-firm ground narrowly ahead of Ghostwriter on a pound, and that slim but meaningful edge at the top of the ratings, combined with the good-to-firm ground and this twelve-furlong test, makes him the most compelling case in the field. Ghostwriter is the obvious threat and will not be easily shaken off, while Sea Scout and Tenability both carry identical figures and could make their presence felt if the principals disappoint. On balance, White Birch represents the strongest hand going into this contest and is taken to prevail.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Warrant Holder

Billy Loughnane · John & Thady Gosden · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 70.1 · +0.9 clear of next best (69.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    49d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    74strong
    OR 111
  • Trainer20% weight
    65strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 6/23 winners last 14d (26%)
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 3-1-1-2-0
MarketBest price 4.80 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Windsor 1m3½f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.21
High (7–9)
IV 0.85

Today: Tenability (draw 5) and Silawi (draw 6) get the bias; Warrant Holder (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 157 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 5
4yo · G · bt
12313
11068.3
2/1·3.00
SP
26
J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 6
6yo · G · b
10269
11058.6
10/1·11.00
SP
38
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 2
6yo · G · gFirst after wind op
2450
11858.0
15/8F·2.88
SP
44
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
4yo · G · bh
213129
10564.7
15/2·8.50
SP
55
4yo · G · b
64332
10869.3
7/1·8.00
SP
69
J: Nicola Currie · T: Charlie Pike · draw 4
5yo · M · bhFT H
42350
9745.5
100/1·101.00
SP
73
5yo · H · b
46304
11263.9
6/1·7.00
SP
82
J: George Wood · T: James Owen · draw 8
5yo · G · bp
84686
10350.3
40/1·41.00
SP
4yo · G · bt
31120
11170.1

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:30 Windsor on 29 August 2026?

Tenability (GB) won the 18:30 Windsor at SP 3.00. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Windsor?

No — the AI top pick (Warrant Holder) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 18:30 Windsor?

Top finishers: 1. Tenability (GB) (3.00), 2. Silawi (IRE) (11.00), 3. White Birch (GB) (2.88).

What was the winning time for the 18:30 Windsor?

The winning time was 2m 29.53s.

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