16:40 Chepstow

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 3 runners · £5,400 · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/5F·1.40

1st
Minster Man (IRE)AI top pick · 65.4
Edward Greatrex·Robert Cowell
2/5F·1.40
SP
2nd
Crazee In Havana (GB)
Finley Marsh·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 5.5 lengths
2/1·3.00
SP
3rd
Mrs Blue (FR)
Stevie Donohoe·Ollie Sangster·beaten 1.75 lengths
18/1·19.00
SP

Race time

1m 2.10s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Minster Man (IRE))

“Set the pace from the off - pushed on and edged further ahead a furlong out - driven out to score readily”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Minster Man

Edward Greatrex · Robert Cowell · 2yo

Top-rated of 4

score 65.4 · +7.9 clear of next best (57.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
22d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
93very strong
Last 6: 2-1
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
43below average
Robert Cowell: 2/12 winners last 14d (17%)

MarketBest price 1.46 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 1.00

Mid (3–3)

IV 0.90

High (4–4)

IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Minster Man J: Edward Greatrex · T: Robert Cowell · draw 1 2yo · C · br	21	9-11	85	—	—	65.4	2/5F·1.40 SP
2	3	Crazee In Havana J: Finley Marsh · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 3 2yo · C · b	62	9-04	—	—	—	25.2	2/1·3.00 SP
3	4	Mrs Blue J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 4 2yo · F · b	—	8-13	—	—	—	21.5	18/1·19.00 SP
—	—	Roxa Love J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Boughey · draw 2 2yo · F · gr	31	9-06	77	—	—	57.5	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:40 Chepstow on 29 August 2026?

Minster Man (IRE) won the 16:40 Chepstow at SP 1.40. Ridden by Edward Greatrex. Trained by Robert Cowell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Chepstow?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Minster Man, won the race (AI score 65.4).

What were the placings in the 16:40 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Minster Man (IRE) (1.40), 2. Crazee In Havana (GB) (3.00), 3. Mrs Blue (FR) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:40 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 2.10s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org