Who won the 17:45 Chepstow on 29 August 2026?
Midgham Man (GB) won the 17:45 Chepstow at SP 1.62. Ridden by Jack Doughty. Trained by Rod Millman.
17:45 Chepstow
Free Tips On Attheraces.com Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 5 runners · £6,480 · Saturday, 29 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stMidgham Man (GB)Jack Doughty·Rod Millman8/13F·1.62SP
- 2ndTime Glory (IRE)AI top pick · 38.0Ryan Kavanagh·Bernard Llewellyn·beaten 10 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdMainshock (USA)Laura Pearson·David Loughnane·beaten 1.25 lengths11/4·3.75SP
Race time
1m 26.46s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Midgham Man (GB))
“Set the pace from the off - opened up a healthy advantage inside the final two furlongs and stretched it approaching the line - allowed to coast home in front”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Time Glory
Ryan Kavanagh(3) · Bernard Llewellyn · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 38.0 · +6.4 clear of next best (31.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight25weakLast 6: 4-3-6-9
- Trainer20% weight0small sample (n=8)Bernard Llewellyn: 0/8 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 25.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.06
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.95
High (5–6)
IV 0.98
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jack Doughty · T: Rod Millman · draw 2 2yo · G · b | 54 | — | 27.5 | 8/13F·1.62 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 1 2yo · F · ch | 4369 | 69 | 38.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 3 2yo · C · b | — | — | 15.0 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Heather Main · draw 5 2yo · G · b | 6 | — | 12.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: James Horton · draw 4 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 24.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 2 | — | 31.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Time Glory) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 17:45 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Midgham Man (GB) (1.62), 2. Time Glory (IRE) (17.00), 3. Mainshock (USA) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 17:45 Chepstow?
The winning time was 1m 26.46s.
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