Who won the 18:15 Chepstow on 29 August 2026?
Absolute Diamond (IRE) won the 18:15 Chepstow at SP 11.00. Ridden by Pat Cosgrave. Trained by David Evans.
18:15 Chepstow
Attheraces.com/marketmovers Nursery Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £3,664 · Saturday, 29 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stAbsolute Diamond (IRE)Pat Cosgrave·David Evans10/1·11.00SP
- 2ndQ T Boy (GB)William Carson·David Evans·beaten 1 length11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdThunda Struck (IRE)Taryn Langley·David Loughnane·beaten 2.5 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
1m 27.25s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Absolute Diamond (IRE))
“Went straight to the front - driven and lost the advantage just inside 2f out - shaken up over 1f out and drifted right - rallied to regain command with a furlong left and stayed on to win”
AI top-rated Jazzy Bay (score 43.5) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way40.5/100 rating
So Tempting
6.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: No More Pino
No More Pino sits just a pound behind the top-rated Absolute Diamond on these figures, yet the progressive profile tips the balance in his favour as a horse still on the upgrade in a Class 6 seven-furlong contest at Chepstow. Absolute Diamond represents the most obvious threat given that narrow rating advantage, while Thunda Struck and Sovereign Beach, both assessed on 70, are the chief dangers from deeper in the field. With improvement still seemingly within him, No More Pino looks the one to be on.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Jazzy Bay
Oliver Carmichael(7) · Eve Johnson Houghton · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 43.5 · +0.3 clear of next best (43.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight50averageLast 6: 6-3-3-3-4-4
- Ratings50% weight40below averageOR 60
- Trainer20% weight18weakEve Johnson Houghton: 2/28 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 9th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.95
High (9–11)
IV 0.98
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: David Evans · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 2466 | 62 | 39.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: William Carson · T: David Evans · draw 9 2yo · G · b | 074 | 58 | 38.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: David Loughnane · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 255 | 64 | 35.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: J S Moore · draw 6 2yo · G · blbFT B | 850 | 53 | 33.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Jack Doughty · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 4 2yo · G · b | 0326 | 63 | 42.7 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 7 2yo · G · bpFT P | 633344 | 60 | 43.5 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 1 2yo · G · bpFT P | 854 | 60 | 36.8 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 10 2yo · F · b | 56034 | 59 | 43.3 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 11 2yo · F · ch | 476568 | 52 | 34.8 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Kieren Fox · T: Charlie Pike · draw 5 2yo · G · b | 59645 | 64 | 34.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Tom Ward · draw 8 2yo · F · bvFT V | 86625 | 52 | 40.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:15 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Jazzy Bay) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 18:15 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Absolute Diamond (IRE) (11.00), 2. Q T Boy (GB) (6.50), 3. Thunda Struck (IRE) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 18:15 Chepstow?
The winning time was 1m 27.25s.
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