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18:45 Chepstow

Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £3,664 · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Emery Down (GB)
    Pat Cosgrave·John Ryan
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)
    Ryan Kavanagh·Bernard Llewellyn·beaten 4.25 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Connie's Rose (GB)AI top pick · 51.9
    Ashley Lewis·Grace Harris·beaten 3 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
1m 26.85s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Emery Down (GB))

“Up with the pack early - moved into second and hit the front over 2f out - driven out from 1f out and forged decisively inside the final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way51.9/100 rating
Connie's Rose
12.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mayberry Moon

Mayberry Moon holds a clear edge over her rivals on these ratings, sitting six pounds ahead of Port Louis and seven clear of Dappled Light, and his profile suggests he is well-suited to this class of company over seven furlongs on good ground at Chepstow. Port Louis represents the most pressing danger given a rating six pounds adrift, while Dappled Light and Connie's Rose cannot be entirely dismissed if Mayberry Moon fails to reproduce her best. Confidence is medium rather than high, so a below-par showing could see the principals close the gap, but on current form the case for our selection is the most compelling in this field. Mayberry Moon is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Connie's Rose

Ashley Lewis(3) · Grace Harris · 7yo

Top-rated of 8
score 51.9 · +0.5 clear of next best (51.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    70strong
    Grace Harris: 5/18 winners last 14d (28%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    11d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    51average
    Last 6: 7-2-4-4-4-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 62
MarketBest price 12.00 (Smarkets) · 5th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.95
High (7–8)
IV 0.98

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
Emery Down
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: John Ryan · draw 4
4yo · F · chp
854426
5645.7
11/4F·3.75
SP
26
Kaleidoscope Eyes
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 7
4yo · F · b
04315
5837.3
13/2·7.50
SP
34
Connie's Rose
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Grace Harris · draw 3
7yo · M · btp
724443
6251.9
17/2·9.50
SP
41
Dappled Light
J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 8
6yo · G · bp
71122
6546.4
7/2·4.50
SP
55
Rosemary's Rose
J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Rod Millman · draw 5
4yo · F · b
562233
5951.3
3/1·4.00
SP
67
Redredrobin
J: William Carson · T: Malcolm Saunders · draw 1
9yo · M · bp
68928
5831.9
12/1·13.00
SP
72
Mayberry Moon
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 2
4yo · G · b
19045
6536.1
11/1·12.00
SP
83
Port Louis
J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 6
5yo · G · bp
208038
6334.0
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:45 Chepstow on 29 August 2026?

Emery Down (GB) won the 18:45 Chepstow at SP 3.75. Ridden by Pat Cosgrave. Trained by John Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:45 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Connie's Rose) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 18:45 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Emery Down (GB) (3.75), 2. Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE) (7.50), 3. Connie's Rose (GB) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:45 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 26.85s.

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