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15:20 Beverley

Ward Homes Yorkshire Handicap Stakes

1m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Heavy · 12 runners · £5,574 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 56.3 · +3.1 clear of next best · best 20/1·21.00
Best value vs consensus
13.5·13.50 Matchbook · +6% vs fair (consensus 12.77)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way53.2/100 rating
On The River
4.70Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: WalsinghamDiffers from our pick

Walsingham arrives here on a progressive profile that makes him an appealing each-way proposition over this mile trip on soft ground at Beverley, even if he sits a few pounds beneath the top two in the ratings. Nostrum heads the field on figures and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Hot Cash and On The River represent genuine dangers who will need to be accounted for if Walsingham is to justify preference. The case for him rests squarely on the likelihood that his upward curve has further to run and that he is being caught at the right moment before that improvement is fully reflected in the numbers. Walsingham is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Tele Red

Andrew Elliott · K. R. Burke · 9yo

Top-rated of 12
score 56.3 · +3.1 clear of next best (53.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    81very strong
    Last 6: 5-2-2-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    K. R. Burke: 9/44 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    310d since last run (long absence)
MarketBest price 21.00 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Beverley 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.10
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.98
High (10–13)
IV 0.90

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Andrew Elliott · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1
9yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
52212
7756.312/1·12.7721·21.00
Matchbook · +64% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
7yo · G · bOnly runner
52753
7853.29/2·5.754.7·4.70
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 3 · combo 3/25 (12%)
4yo · G · bClass dropD
741100
8553.040/1·43.4360·60.00
Matchbook · +38% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 2 · combo 3/35 (9%)
4yo · G · btCD
461121
7652.2
6
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 10 · combo 5/39 (13%)
5yo · G · bOnly pairing
003061
8150.914/1·15.3321·21.00
Matchbook · +37% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
J: Kevin Stott · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 4
4yo · F · grDOnly runner
51414
7650.515/2·8.306/1·7.00
William Hill · -16% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
12
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 · combo 20/214 (9%)
5yo · G · bpClass drop
521472
7649.913/2·7.6611/2·6.50
Bet365 · -15% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Connor Beasley · T: Jack Channon · draw 11
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
02280
8346.413/2·7.667.2·7.20
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 12 · combo 7/33 (21%)
6yo · G · bOnly pairing
108057
8445.512/1·12.7712·12.00
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Grant Tuer · draw 5 · combo 1/6 (17%)
5yo · G · bpCOnly runner
042175
7745.012/1·12.7713.5·13.50
Matchbook · +6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Jason Hart · T: Michael Appleby · draw 6
6yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing
025800
8543.114/1·15.3315·15.00
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: David Nolan · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 9
4yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing
33278
8242.825/1·26.8338·38.00
Matchbook · +42% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
13
J: Cam Hardie · T: Mike Sowersby · draw 13
4yo · G · btOnly runner
422447
6841.550/1·52.38110·110.00
Matchbook · +110% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ward Homes Yorkshire Handicap Stakes?

The Ward Homes Yorkshire Handicap Stakes is off at 15:20 on 30 August 2026 at Beverley (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:20 Beverley?

1m½f, Class 4, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:20 Beverley?

Going is reported as Heavy on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:20 Beverley?

The AI top-rated runner is Tele Red (score 56.3, best price 21.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:20 Beverley?

The market favourite is On The River at a best price of 4.70. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Tele Red.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org