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15:10 Goodwood

Virgin Bet Prestige Fillies' Stakes (Group 3)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 9 runners · £56,710 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
score 72.8 · +4.9 clear of next best · best 20/1·21.00

Drawn 1, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
26·26.00 Betfair Exchange · +5% vs fair (consensus 24.76)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way68.0/100 rating
Nuit d'Eclair
5.00Ladbrokes
Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Nuit d'EclairDiffers from our pick

Nuit d'Eclair heads this nine-runner Class 1 at Goodwood on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Light Of Dawn and eight pounds clear of Bayside View, and she will need to handle the soft underfoot conditions over seven furlongs. Light Of Dawn is the most obvious threat given her proximity on ratings, while Aperoll and Bayside View will also need to be kept onside, yet neither looks capable of overhauling the top-rated filly on these figures. Our selection is Nuit d'Eclair.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Martinet

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 72.8 · +4.9 clear of next best (68.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    95very strong
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 6/16 winners last 14d (38%)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 4-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 89
MarketBest price 21.00 (7Bet) · 7th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 5 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Goodwood 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.15
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.07
High (8–10)
IV 0.77

Today: Martinet (draw 1) and Nuit d'Eclair (draw 3) get the bias; Light Of Dawn (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 1 · combo 17/78 (22%)
2yo · F · grD
413
8972.825/1·24.7620/1·21.00
7Bet · -15% vs fair
All 7 books ▾
8
J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 3 · combo 5/48 (10%)
2yo · F · b
142
10068.09/2·5.314/1·5.00
Ladbrokes · -6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 10 · combo 28/113 (25%)
2yo · F · b
133
9966.36/1·7.086.6·6.60
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Michael Bell · draw 7 · combo 3/10 (30%)
2yo · F · bD
212
9462.95/1·5.909/2·5.50
Ladbrokes · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 · combo 0/6 (0%)
2yo · F · chDOnly pairing
11
7960.325/1·27.1228·28.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 · combo 25/152 (16%)
2yo · F · b
41
8360.010/1·10.6110.5·10.50
Betfair Exchange
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 6 · combo 15/129 (12%)
2yo · F · bD
33113
8659.925/1·24.7625/1·26.00
Ladbrokes · +5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9 · combo 12/85 (14%)
2yo · F · chD
131
9557.511/2·6.495/1·6.00
Betfred · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4 · combo 12/43 (28%)
2yo · F · bDOnly runner
1
42.010/1·10.6110.5·10.50
Matchbook
All 29 books ▾
2
2yo · F · rnDOnly runner
31
27.325/1·24.7626·26.00
Betfair Exchange · +5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 7–29 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Virgin Bet Prestige Fillies' Stakes (Group 3)?

The Virgin Bet Prestige Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) is off at 15:10 on 30 August 2026 at Goodwood (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:10 Goodwood?

7f, Class 1, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:10 Goodwood?

Going is reported as Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:10 Goodwood?

The AI top-rated runner is Martinet (score 72.8, best price 21.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:10 Goodwood?

The market favourite is Nuit d'Eclair at a best price of 5.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Martinet.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org