Who won the 15:45 Goodwood on 30 August 2026?
Itica (GB) won the 15:45 Goodwood at SP 23.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.
15:45 Goodwood
Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Selling Stakes
1m3f · Flat · Class 3 · Soft · 6 runners · £13,085 · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stItica (GB)Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding22/1·23.00SP
- 2ndGloryous (IRE)William Carson·Jamie Osborne·beaten 1.25 lengths7/4J·2.75SP
- 3rdDunkeld Dreamer (IRE)Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke·beaten .5 lengths7/4J·2.75SP
Race time
2m 35.14s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Itica (GB))
“Held a central position early - pushed along with 2f left - up to third inside final furlong - split rivals to hit the front close home and drew clear”
AI top-rated Sudbury Hill (score 70.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Sudbury Hill
Sudbury Hill rates narrowly behind the top two on these figures but a progressive profile and a fitness edge make a compelling case for overlooking that small deficit over eleven furlongs on soft ground at Goodwood. Gloryous heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed, while Dunkeld Dreamer and Ohara are both capable of making this competitive, so the margin for error is slim. That said, a horse continuing to improve often outperforms a static rating, and there is enough here to side with Sudbury Hill.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Sudbury Hill
Callum Rodriguez · Harry Derham · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 70.0 · +13.6 clear of next best (56.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Harry Derham: 2/2 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 2-3-2-0-1-2
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Goodwood 1m3f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.82
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.19
High (7–8)
IV 1.02
Today: Lorca's Waltz (draw 6) and Unchartedterritory (draw 5) get the bias; Gloryous (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 104 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 3yo · G · ch | 0256 | 71 | 45.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: William Carson · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 3 4yo · F · ch | 68321 | 80 | 56.4 | 7/4J·2.75 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 424140 | 80 | 52.8 | 7/4J·2.75 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 98207 | 75 | 45.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Harry Derham · draw 7 3yo · G · bp | 232012 | 80 | 70.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 6 3yo · G · chtpFT TP | 95150 | 76 | 50.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 473162 | 74 | 47.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 2 4yo · G · bh | 703471 | 76 | 49.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Goodwood?
No — the AI top pick (Sudbury Hill) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Goodwood?
Top finishers: 1. Itica (GB) (23.00), 2. Gloryous (IRE) (2.75), 3. Dunkeld Dreamer (IRE) (2.75).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Goodwood?
The winning time was 2m 35.14s.
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