15:45 Goodwood

Off in 2h 0m

Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Selling Stakes

1m3f · Flat · Class 3 · Soft · 6 runners · £13,085 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Sudbury Hill

No. 5 · score 70.0 · +13.6 clear of next best · best 13/2·7.40

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way70.0/100 rating

Sudbury Hill

7.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Sudbury HillAgrees with our pick

Sudbury Hill rates narrowly behind the top two on these figures but a progressive profile and a fitness edge make a compelling case for overlooking that small deficit over eleven furlongs on soft ground at Goodwood. Gloryous heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed, while Dunkeld Dreamer and Ohara are both capable of making this competitive, so the margin for error is slim. That said, a horse continuing to improve often outperforms a static rating, and there is enough here to side with Sudbury Hill.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sudbury Hill

Callum Rodriguez · Harry Derham · 3yo

Top-rated of 8

score 70.0 · +13.6 clear of next best (56.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=2)
Harry Derham: 2/2 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
67strong
Last 6: 2-3-2-0-1-2
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 7.40 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
2Gloryous 7Dunkeld Dreamer Unchartedterritory
Prominent(2)
5Sudbury Hill Echalar
Mid-division(1)
3Lorca's Waltz
Hold-up / closers(1)
4Ohara
Unknown(1)
8Itica

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m3f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.82

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.19

High (7–8)

IV 1.02

Today: Lorca's Waltz (draw 6) and Unchartedterritory (draw 5) get the bias; Gloryous (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 104 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	Sudbury HillPick J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Harry Derham · draw 7 3yo · G · bpOnly runner	232012	9-05	80	—	—	70.0	15/2·8.52	7.4·7.40 Matchbook · -13% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook7.4·7.40Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20Smarkets7·7.00BetMGM6/1·7.00 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00
2	Gloryous J: William Carson · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 3 4yo · F · chOn last winning markOnly ride	68321	9-08	80	—	—	56.4	5/2·3.45	2.78·2.78 Matchbook · -19% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook2.78·2.78Betfair Exchange2.76·2.76Smarkets2.72·2.7210 Bet13/8·2.63 LiveScore Bet13/8·2.63 Spreadex13/8·2.63 Paddy Power13/8·2.63 Betfred13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63 Unibet13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 7Bet13/8·2.63 BetTom13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 Star Sports13/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Bet36513/8·2.63 SportingIndex13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 William Hill13/8·2.63Hollywood Bets13/8·2.63BresBet13/8·2.62 SmarketsSBK13/8·2.62 BetMGM6/4·2.50 Coral6/4·2.50 Ladbrokes6/4·2.50
7	Dunkeld Dreamer J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1 · combo 28/113 (25%) 3yo · F · bClass drop	424140	9-04	80	—	—	52.8	4/1·4.92	4.1·4.10 Betfair Exchange · -17% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10Matchbook4.1·4.10Smarkets4.1·4.10SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 BresBet11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Spreadex11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75William Hill11/4·3.75 10 Bet5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 BetMGM12/5·3.40
3	Lorca's Waltz J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 6 · combo 15/78 (19%) 3yo · G · chtpFT TP	95150	9-05	76	—	—	50.3	11/1·11.80	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80Spreadex17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50William Hill17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Bet36517/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50
—	Echalar J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 2 · combo 1/27 (4%) 4yo · G · bhOnly pairing	703471	9-13	76	—	—	49.3	16/1·17.04	13.5·13.50 Betfair Exchange · -21% vs fair All 22 books ▾ Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Matchbook4.4·4.40
—	Unchartedterritory J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 · combo 16/150 (11%) 3yo · G · b	473162	9-05	74	—	—	47.3	9/1·9.83	7.6·7.60 Matchbook · -23% vs fair All 20 books ▾ Matchbook7.6·7.60Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Midnite6/1·7.00
8	Itica J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 · combo 24/115 (21%) 3yo · G · chOnly pairing	0256	9-02	71	—	—	45.7	14/1·15.73	13·13.00 Matchbook · -17% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook13·13.00LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 Coral11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00BetMGM11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Betfred10/1·11.00
4	Ohara J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 8 · combo 3/24 (13%) 3yo · G · b	98207	9-05	75	—	—	45.0	11/1·12.45	9/1·10.00 William Hill · -20% vs fair All 30 books ▾ William Hill9/1·10.00Matchbook10·10.00Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80Smarkets9.8·9.80Betano17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 BresBet17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Bet36517/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Unibet17/2·9.50 Paddy Power17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00SportingIndex8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 20–30 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Selling Stakes?

The Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Selling Stakes is off at 15:45 on 30 August 2026 at Goodwood (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:45 Goodwood?

1m3f, Class 3, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:45 Goodwood?

Going is reported as Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:45 Goodwood?

The AI top-rated runner is Sudbury Hill (score 70.0, best price 7.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:45 Goodwood?

The market favourite is Gloryous at a best price of 2.78. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Sudbury Hill.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org