Who won the 16:00 Yarmouth on 30 August 2026?
Court Drive (IRE) won the 16:00 Yarmouth at SP 3.50. Ridden by Jack Mitchell. Trained by Gay Kelleway.
16:00 Yarmouth
Bodhi Solutions - Facilities Management Front Runner Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £3,768 · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stCourt Drive (IRE)Jack Mitchell·Gay Kelleway5/2J·3.50SP
- 2ndMethgal (IRE)Kyle McHugh·Dylan Cunha·beaten .5 lengths5/2J·3.50SP
- 3rdInsuspense (GB)Paddy Bradley·Ross Burdon·beaten 1.25 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 14.34s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Court Drive (IRE))
“Sluggish start - settled towards back - travelling comfortably approaching 2f out - pushed along and made ground inside final 2f - hit front inside last - stayed on strongly to score”
AI top-rated Deadline (score 54.1) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Noble Guest
Noble Guest holds a narrow rating deficit to Danger Alert but a fitness edge is expected to prove the decisive factor over six furlongs on good ground at Yarmouth, and that edge over the top-rated runner is enough to give the selection the call in a wide-open Class 6 heat. Danger Alert, Court Drive and Insuspense all represent genuine dangers and cannot be easily dismissed in a competitive eleven-runner field. Confidence is modest given how closely matched several of these rivals are, but the fitness argument is the one angle that tilts the race in Noble Guest's favour. Noble Guest is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Deadline
Edward Greatrex · Warren Greatrex · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 54.1 · +0.6 clear of next best (53.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=9)Warren Greatrex: 3/9 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight42below averageOR 63
- Form20% weight33weakLast 6: 6-6-5-4
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Yarmouth 6f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.37
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.88
High (9–11)
IV 0.70
Today: Von Krolock (draw 3) and Danger Alert (draw 1) get the bias; Deadline (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Gay Kelleway · draw 9 5yo · M · bb | 661346 | 62 | 39.7 | 5/2J·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 7 4yo · G · btb | 904721 | 62 | 53.5 | 5/2J·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Ross Burdon · draw 6 4yo · F · bt | 222275 | 62 | 37.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 4 4yo · G · bp | 288395 | 59 | 32.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 11 3yo · G · ch | 6654 | 63 | 54.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 1 6yo · G · b/esFT /ES | 34749 | 61 | 40.7 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 05672 | 58 | 38.9 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: George Margarson · draw 10 4yo · G · br | 356374 | 64 | 37.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julia & Shelley Birkett · draw 2 6yo · G · br | 369589 | 64 | 39.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: James Owen · draw 3 7yo · G · bb | 231621 | 63 | 45.4 | — |
| — | — | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Mike Murphy · draw 8 4yo · G · b | 23455 | 56 | 33.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Yarmouth?
No — the AI top pick (Deadline) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:00 Yarmouth?
Top finishers: 1. Court Drive (IRE) (3.50), 2. Methgal (IRE) (3.50), 3. Insuspense (GB) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:00 Yarmouth?
The winning time was 1m 14.34s.
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