Who won the 15:53 Cartmel on 29 August 2026?
Morning Mayhem (GB) won the 15:53 Cartmel at SP 9.00. Ridden by Harry Reed. Trained by Nick Scholfield.
15:53 Cartmel
Molson Coors Cartmel Cup Handicap Hurdle Race
2m1f · Hurdle · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners · £11,004 · Saturday, 29 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stMorning Mayhem (GB)Harry Reed·Nick Scholfield8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndLightening Company (IRE)Kevin Brogan·Ben Haslam·beaten 1.5 lengths20/1·21.00SP
- 3rdRoysse (GB)AI top pick · 82.4Beau Morgan·Ben Pauling·beaten 0.1 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
4m 1.95s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Morning Mayhem (GB))
“Held up in the pack - made progress from 4 out and moved into fourth at the 3 out - pressing the head of affairs before the last - forged ahead 1f into the run-in under pressure - stayed on well to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way82.4/100 rating
Roysse
9.00Dragon Bet
Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 4 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Zillow
Zillow heads this thirteen-runner Cartmel contest narrowly ahead of My Chiquita on our figures and has the look of a horse well-suited to this stamina-sapping seventeen-furlong trip on good-to-soft ground, making him the standout on merit. My Chiquita is the most obvious danger at four pounds behind and will need to close that gap on the day, while Saligo Bay and Medieval Gold also represent live threats if the principals disappoint. The field is competitive at Class 3 level, but Zillow's superiority across the ratings is clear and consistent, giving little reason to look elsewhere. Zillow is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Roysse
Beau Morgan(5) · Ben Pauling · 7yo
Top-rated of 14
score 82.4 · +0.5 clear of next best (81.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=9)Ben Pauling: 4/9 winners last 14d (44%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight81very strongOR 122 — above field median
- Form20% weight76strongLast 6: 3-3-6-1-1
- Freshness10% weight65strong73d since last run (rusty)
MarketBest price 9.00 (Dragon Bet) · 4th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Harry Reed · T: Nick Scholfield · draw 0 5yo · G · bp | 41444 | 118 | 63.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 2 | 13 | J: Kevin Brogan · T: Ben Haslam · draw 0 8yo · G · b | 31P5 | 102 | 53.1 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Beau Morgan(5) · T: Ben Pauling · draw 0 7yo · G · bt | 33611 | 122 | 82.4 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Leah Noreci(7) · T: James Moffatt · draw 0 7yo · M · b | 22317 | 124 | 71.7 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Kielan Woods · T: Alex Hales · draw 0 6yo · G · b | 23412 | 109 | 68.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 12 | J: Brian Hughes · T: James Moffatt · draw 0 7yo · G · chtp | 26354 | 107 | 62.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 14 | J: James Turner(5) · T: Ryan Hatch · draw 0 5yo · G · bt | 13533 | 100 | 63.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Sean Bowen · T: John Butler · draw 0 7yo · G · b | 21 | 110 | 74.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Derek Fox · T: Patrick Neville · draw 0 6yo · G · bltb | 21327 | 116 | 72.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: Harry Cobden · T: Faye Bramley · draw 0 6yo · G · bt | F007P | 126 | 58.8 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| PU | 4 | J: Jonathan England · T: Sam England · draw 0 8yo · G · b | 11058 | 121 | 66.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 4yo · G · bp | 2111F1 | 124 | 81.9 | — |
| — | — | J: Richie McLernon · T: Sam England · draw 0 6yo · G · cht | 31851 | 116 | 67.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Jack Tudor · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 0 6yo · G · btp | F6141 | 115 | 60.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:53 Cartmel?
No — the AI top pick (Roysse) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:53 Cartmel?
Top finishers: 1. Morning Mayhem (GB) (9.00), 2. Lightening Company (IRE) (21.00), 3. Roysse (GB) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:53 Cartmel?
The winning time was 4m 1.95s.
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