18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 38m13:40Listowel

16:40 Epsom

Geoff Lewis Handicap Stakes

1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £4,449 · Monday, 31 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Tronido (GB)
    Tyler Heard·Simon Dow
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Eduardo Calderon (IRE)AI top pick · 49.3
    Kaiya Fraser·Harry Eustace·beaten 1 length
    7/2J·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Oj Lifestyle (IRE)
    Tom Queally·Gary & Josh Moore·beaten 0.05 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 47.21s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tronido (GB))

“Reared at the break - set off in front - held the lead throughout without a serious threat - home comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Oj Lifestyle

Oj Lifestyle heads the ratings on this eight-furlong Epsom Class 5 contest on good-to-soft ground, narrowly ahead of Eduardo Calderon on identical figures, with H Key Lails and Amused not far behind to make this a genuinely competitive heat. Eduardo Calderon represents the most obvious threat given the shared rating, while H Key Lails and Amused cannot be dismissed on a surface that could suit either if conditions play to their strengths. Confidence is modest in what looks a finely balanced affair, but on the balance of the evidence available, Oj Lifestyle is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Eduardo Calderon

Kaiya Fraser · Harry Eustace · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 49.3 · +2.4 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 7-2-4-4-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    Harry Eustace: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom 1m½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.87
High (7–8)
IV 1.14

Today: H Key Lails (draw 8) and Tronido (draw 7) get the bias; Eduardo Calderon (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Tronido
J: Tyler Heard · T: Simon Dow · draw 7
5yo · M · bh
814075
6542.4
12/1·13.00
SP
27
Eduardo Calderon
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 4
3yo · G · b
72443
6749.3
7/2J·4.50
SP
32
Oj Lifestyle
J: Tom Queally · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 5
6yo · G · btb
86173
7247.0
9/2·5.50
SP
48
Uniter
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Denis Coakley · draw 3
3yo · G · b
867P85
5829.4
14/1·15.00
SP
55
Super Hit
J: Jason Watson · T: James Owen · draw 1
5yo · G · bht
413137
6746.4
9/2·5.50
SP
63
Amused
J: Luke Catton(3) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 6
4yo · G · b
200227
7038.6
7/2J·4.50
SP
71
H Key Lails
J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 8
6yo · G · bp
331774
7345.8
7/1·8.00
SP
84
Here I Bow
J: Jonny Peate · T: Oli Rix · draw 2
3yo · F · b
27085
7536.0
9/1·10.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:40 Epsom on 31 August 2026?

Tronido (GB) won the 16:40 Epsom at SP 13.00. Ridden by Tyler Heard. Trained by Simon Dow.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Epsom?

No — the AI top pick (Eduardo Calderon) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:40 Epsom?

Top finishers: 1. Tronido (GB) (13.00), 2. Eduardo Calderon (IRE) (4.50), 3. Oj Lifestyle (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:40 Epsom?

The winning time was 1m 47.21s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org