Who won the 17:15 Epsom on 31 August 2026?
Dapper Guest (IRE) won the 17:15 Epsom at SP 5.50. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by George Margarson.
17:15 Epsom
Betfred 'play Fred's £5 Million' Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 6 runners · £6,281 · Monday, 31 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stDapper Guest (IRE)Saffie Osborne·George Margarson9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndSilver Trumpet (GB)Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten .75 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdFrench Affair (IRE)AI top pick · 62.3Sean D Bowen·Jennie Candlish·beaten 2 lengths6/5F·2.20SP
Race time
1m 25.62s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Dapper Guest (IRE))
“Held up at back - urged forward with three furlongs left - moved through into contention with two to go - powered clear inside the final furlong to score comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: French Affair
French Affair holds a clear advantage on ratings over the chasing pack at Epsom, sitting ten pounds clear of Fresh Fade and Silver Trumpet, who share second billing and represent the most credible dangers alongside Dapper Guest, twelve pounds adrift of our selection. Fresh Fade and Silver Trumpet will need to find significant improvement to bridge that gap over seven furlongs on good-to-soft ground, while Dapper Guest faces an even steeper task. French Affair is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
French Affair
Sean D Bowen · Jennie Candlish · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 62.3 · +13.0 clear of next best (49.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 4-2-4-6-1-1
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight53averageJennie Candlish: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Epsom 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.95
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.90
High (5–6)
IV 1.14
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: George Margarson · draw 4 4yo · G · bp | 640803 | 76 | 37.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 6 5yo · G · grp | 437615 | 75 | 49.2 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 424611 | 82 | 62.3 | 6/5F·2.20 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 441591 | 66 | 43.3 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 5 3yo · G · ch | 56060 | 72 | 37.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Robert Havlin · T: Michael Appleby · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 130 | 75 | 41.8 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Epsom?
No — the AI top pick (French Affair) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:15 Epsom?
Top finishers: 1. Dapper Guest (IRE) (5.50), 2. Silver Trumpet (GB) (4.00), 3. French Affair (IRE) (2.20).
What was the winning time for the 17:15 Epsom?
The winning time was 1m 25.62s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org