18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

13:45 Chepstow

Dragonbet Welsh Racing Festival 9th-11th Oct Nursery Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 5 runners · £3,768 · Monday, 31 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Naval Cop (GB)
    Alfie Redman·Andrew Balding
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Devon Angel (GB)
    Connor Planas·Rod Millman·beaten 0.3 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Crystal Kraken (GB)AI top pick · 51.2
    Rossa Ryan·Dylan Cunha·beaten 4.25 lengths
    8/15F·1.53
    SP
Race time
1m 1.65s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Naval Cop (GB))

Settled close to the rail near the pace - roused along with 2f left - moved through to hit the front inside the last furlong - stayed on strongly to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.53 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Crystal Kraken

Crystal Kraken heads this six-runner Class 6 sprint at Chepstow on good-to-soft ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Our Fella and a few pounds clear of the remainder, which provides a solid enough platform for a confident case. The main dangers come from Our Fella, who is the closest pursuer and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Courseyoudo and Lion Of Persia are both rated level and capable of making things interesting if the selection fails to fire. Crystal Kraken's edge over the field, though modest, is consistent across the board, and over five furlongs on this ground there is enough here to suggest the rating translates to a genuine performance advantage. Crystal Kraken is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Crystal Kraken

Rossa Ryan · Dylan Cunha · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 51.2 · +4.7 clear of next best (46.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 9-7-3-5-2-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    Dylan Cunha: 5/27 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 61
MarketBest price 190.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.00
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.90
High (5–6)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
2yo · F · b
465
6043.3
11/1·12.00
SP
26
J: Connor Planas · T: Rod Millman · draw 6
2yo · F · b
706364
4537.5
100/30·4.33
SP
32
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2
2yo · F · b
973522
6151.2
8/15F·1.53
SP
43
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: J S Moore · draw 3
2yo · C · chpFT P
530234
6140.2
7/1·8.00
SP
51
J: William Cox · T: Tom Lacey · draw 4
2yo · G · b
6758
6546.3
28/1·29.00
SP
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Robert Cowell · draw 1
2yo · G · b
842
6146.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:45 Chepstow on 31 August 2026?

Naval Cop (GB) won the 13:45 Chepstow at SP 12.00. Ridden by Alfie Redman. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:45 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Crystal Kraken) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 13:45 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Naval Cop (GB) (12.00), 2. Devon Angel (GB) (4.33), 3. Crystal Kraken (GB) (1.53).

What was the winning time for the 13:45 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 1.65s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org